2015 World Series Projection, October 7

Toronto over St. Louis

Wildcard Round
HOU 1-0 NYY
CHI 0-0 PIT

Team	Strength	LDS	LCS	WS	Win
TOR	0.6287	100.00	71.35	45.53	28.77
STL	0.5954	100.00	55.84	33.37	17.10
HOU	0.5757	100.00	53.76	24.45	12.57
PIT	0.5718	51.45	23.40	12.77	5.88
CHI	0.5575	48.55	20.77	10.67	4.59
KC	0.5560	100.00	46.24	19.13	9.00
LAD	0.5526	100.00	50.53	21.97	9.22
NYM	0.5498	100.00	49.47	21.21	8.78
TEX	0.5112	100.00	28.65	10.89	4.08

I had Houston ranked as the better team, and they pulled off a win in Yankee Stadium to make it to the ALDS. I should mention one more caveat, that home field advantage doesn't come into play in these numbers. It's a real advantage, it's just more complex than my model gets. So mentally bump the home team up a bit in each game.

As for the NL Wild Card, the winner will play St. Louis, so I'm interested, but not really rooting for either side. St. Louis was 11-8 against Chicago this year, and 10-9 against Pittsburgh, so I suppose, being a numbers guy, I'll hope for a Chicago win for one of the few times in my life.