2015-09-29

Superbowl 50 Projection, Week 3, Final

Arizona over New England

The same teams are still at the top, but Arizona's overall odds went down just slightly, while New England's improved. Why is that? The answer is the wildcard picture. Green Bay, of the NFC, defeated Kansas City of the AFC. While those teams are not in the same division as either of the current conference favorites, they could wind up competing for a wildcard slot. That lowers Arizona's playoff chances just a bit, and raises New England's, which cascades through all rounds.

At the bottom of the pile, Chicago's in worse wildcard AND divisional position since they're in the NFC North with Green Bay, bringing them to a season low 0.11% chance of winning the Superbowl.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
ARI3-00.58475.4186.0970.4539.8822.3012.15
NE3-00.56249.4276.7559.4931.7516.848.84
NYJ2-10.56026.6957.0440.2021.1711.145.83
CIN3-00.55257.7175.2757.8530.3115.658.06
DEN3-00.55264.3476.6059.4431.1015.988.22
CAR3-00.55049.0476.5456.6029.5915.207.76
BUF2-10.54920.9451.0334.2317.559.034.62
PIT2-10.54932.3950.5934.7017.879.134.67
GB3-00.54564.7580.0259.8630.8915.737.95
ATL3-00.52944.8978.0456.2727.9813.736.72
SEA1-20.52712.6629.0817.028.324.102.00
MIN2-10.52530.6051.9232.9716.127.883.83
TEN1-20.52033.8738.0021.4810.254.912.37
NYG1-20.51123.0531.7817.848.373.951.87
DAL2-10.50042.5250.7729.7113.646.282.89
HOU1-20.49028.7432.1817.237.723.461.57
WAS1-20.49017.5826.1714.386.452.901.31
PHI1-20.48816.8523.6212.625.632.531.14
OAK2-10.48418.8234.5520.309.054.021.80
KC1-20.4837.8119.1410.654.722.090.93
BAL0-30.4752.836.273.161.380.600.26
CLE1-20.4707.0713.667.453.241.400.61
SD1-20.4699.0317.119.183.941.690.73
STL1-20.4618.4119.6110.184.311.840.78
NO0-30.4561.406.012.851.180.490.21
IND1-20.45421.0623.5511.244.621.910.80
MIA1-20.4522.969.334.801.990.830.35
DET0-30.4502.867.593.661.500.620.26
TB1-20.4414.6616.578.213.291.330.54
JAC1-20.43116.3318.948.603.351.310.52
SF1-20.4253.5211.765.472.110.830.32
CHI0-30.4211.794.441.910.720.280.11

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]

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