Kansas City's win in the early game took the wind out of Pittsburgh's sails, eliminating them from getting the #1 seed. It's now down to Buffalo or Kansas City in the AFC. Pittsburgh went on to lose, allowing Baltimore to clinch a playoff berth, and the lead in division-winning chances. Also, after many weeks of Detroit and Buffalo, we finally have a change in the projection. It's interesting because head to head, Buffalo would project to beat Kansas City, and both are already in the playoffs. But, the fact that Kansas City is in the bye position means they have a much greater chance of making it to the second weekend of the playoffs right now, and that increased chance cascades all the way through to the end.
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 12-2 | 0.756 | 73.3 | ++ | 87.2 | 53.8 | 31.7 | 19.7 |
| PHI | 12-2 | 0.721 | 99.5 | ++ | 69.6 | 40.9 | 20.9 | 12.1 |
| MIN | 12-2 | 0.713 | 26.7 | ++ | 75.1 | 39.7 | 20.2 | 11.5 |
| KC | 14-1 | 0.656 | ++ | ++ | 93.9 | 50.0 | 25.2 | 11.1 |
| BUF | 11-3 | 0.703 | ++ | ++ | 62.8 | 37.2 | 21.3 | 10.5 |
| BAL | 10-5 | 0.663 | 53.7 | ++ | 57.4 | 29.5 | 15.2 | 6.8 |
| GB | 10-4 | 0.662 | - | 99.5 | 54.1 | 23.4 | 10.7 | 5.5 |
| DEN | 9-6 | 0.661 | - | 92.8 | 44.6 | 22.4 | 12.0 | 5.4 |
| LAC | 9-6 | 0.616 | - | 98.8 | 48.7 | 22.8 | 10.3 | 4.1 |
| PIT | 10-5 | 0.607 | 46.3 | ++ | 49.9 | 22.3 | 10.0 | 3.9 |
| WSH | 9-5 | 0.636 | 0.5 | 90.5 | 41.0 | 16.3 | 7.2 | 3.4 |
| TB | 8-6 | 0.627 | 84.6 | 89.0 | 40.2 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 3.2 |
| HOU | 9-6 | 0.539 | ++ | ++ | 40.5 | 15.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| SEA | 8-6 | 0.504 | 43.0 | 43.3 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| LAR | 8-6 | 0.447 | 41.3 | 41.5 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| ARI | 7-7 | 0.516 | 15.7 | 16.0 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| ATL | 7-7 | 0.406 | 15.4 | 20.1 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| CIN | 6-8 | 0.519 | - | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| MIA | 6-8 | 0.425 | - | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| IND | 6-8 | 0.402 | - | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NO | 5-9 | 0.494 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DAL | 6-8 | 0.356 | - | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| SF | 6-8 | 0.488 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYJ | 4-10 | 0.416 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CHI | 4-10 | 0.411 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NE | 3-11 | 0.303 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| JAX | 3-11 | 0.297 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CLE | 3-11 | 0.280 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| TEN | 3-11 | 0.279 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| LV | 2-12 | 0.267 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| NYG | 2-12 | 0.256 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CAR | 3-11 | 0.229 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)
First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)
[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 16, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
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