2024-12-13

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 15, Thursday

Detroit over Buffalo

A touchdown-free game between two middling teams didn't do much except falsely eliminate San Francisco from the division in my standings. I believe a tie between Seattle and the LA Rams (and a bunch of other games going correctly) would allow San Francisco to still win the division.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET12-10.76789.2++94.862.339.725.5
BUF10-30.702++++67.239.523.311.6
PHI11-20.69697.4++63.137.517.79.9
MIN11-20.68210.8100.068.934.716.58.9
PIT10-30.66388.099.961.032.217.27.8
KC12-10.611++++84.941.718.97.6
LAC8-50.657-92.649.525.913.56.1
DEN8-50.644-83.642.521.710.94.8
GB9-40.6330.095.451.320.79.14.4
WSH8-50.6312.688.944.417.47.93.8
BAL8-50.60412.093.245.620.89.53.7
TB7-60.59074.678.633.513.75.12.3
HOU8-50.53897.097.539.615.25.92.0
SEA8-50.53755.860.622.98.02.61.0
LAR8-60.44737.139.511.53.20.80.2
IND6-70.4383.020.25.91.80.60.1
ATL6-70.39924.226.86.41.60.40.1
MIA6-70.443-12.13.51.10.30.1
ARI6-70.4907.18.32.60.80.20.1
NO5-80.4961.21.60.50.20.00.0
CIN5-80.503-0.90.30.10.00.0
SF6-80.488-0.00.00.00.00.0
DAL5-80.334-0.10.00.00.00.0
CAR3-100.2540.00.00.00.00.00.0
CHI4-90.449-0.00.00.00.00.0
NYJ3-100.400------
NE3-100.326------
CLE3-100.309------
JAX3-100.307------
TEN3-100.291------
NYG2-110.290------
LV2-110.285------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Final] Detroit over Buffalo

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