2024-12-20

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 16, Thursday

Detroit over Buffalo

The LA Chargers beat Denver to take both teams to 9-6 on Thursday. Neither has clinched a playoff spot but both are very close. They won't clinch on Saturday, but could on Sunday, wrapping up the AFC playoff picture except for the seeding. Of interest on Saturday, 2 of the 3 possible #1 seeds are playing. Kansas City is the most likely to get the bye, and they play Houston, who is already in as a division winner, but will wind up somewhere between the #2 and #4 seed. Pittsburgh has an outside chance at the #1 seed still, and they'll play Baltimore, who could still win the NFC North, or miss the playoffs completely.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET12-20.75673.3++87.253.831.719.8
PHI12-20.72199.5++69.640.920.912.1
BUF11-30.703++++69.641.023.811.8
MIN12-20.71226.7++75.139.720.211.5
KC13-10.641++++85.243.821.39.1
DEN9-60.661-93.346.323.512.55.6
GB10-40.662-99.554.123.410.75.5
PIT10-40.64076.3++52.926.112.85.4
BAL9-50.63723.798.953.025.712.45.2
LAC9-60.616-98.848.622.710.44.2
WSH9-50.6360.590.541.016.37.23.5
TB8-60.62684.689.040.216.76.83.2
HOU9-50.555++++41.916.56.52.2
SEA8-60.50443.043.313.14.01.20.4
LAR8-60.44741.341.510.52.70.70.2
ARI7-70.51615.716.04.81.50.50.2
ATL7-70.40615.420.14.51.00.20.1
CIN6-80.519-3.01.00.40.10.0
IND6-80.402-3.50.90.20.10.0
MIA6-80.425-2.60.70.20.10.0
NO5-90.4940.00.00.00.00.00.0
DAL6-80.356-0.10.00.00.00.0
SF6-80.488-0.00.00.00.00.0
NYJ4-100.416------
CHI4-100.411------
NE3-110.303------
JAX3-110.297------
CLE3-110.280------
TEN3-110.279------
LV2-120.267------
NYG2-120.256------
CAR3-110.229------

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)
First to 99.999% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (Week 13, Thursday)
First to clinch Playoffs: Kansas City (Week 13, Friday)
First to clinch a Division: Buffalo (Week 13, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)
First team eliminated from the playoffs: New York Giants (Week 13, Thursday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Friday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 13, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 14, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 15, Final] Detroit over Buffalo

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