2024-11-25

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 12, Sunday

Detroit over Buffalo

Even though it doesn't always guarantee a playoff spot, 10 wins always seemed like the mark of a good season to me. I'm not sure if that should rise to 11 now that there are 17 games, but also there are 2 additional playoff teams. Detroit is now over 99.95% to make the playoffs, but still a little behind Buffalo, who has nearly clinched their division. Speaking of division races, we have our first eliminations. New England (9 losses vs Buffalo's 9 wins), Las Vegas, and the New York Giants. All 3 put the nails in their own coffins with a loss this week, although Kansas City and Philadelphia also won for good measure.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET10-10.74882.2100.090.359.938.424.2
BUF9-20.674100.0100.078.044.525.112.5
PHI9-20.67296.199.968.640.519.610.6
LAC7-30.66317.897.759.832.617.68.5
MIN9-20.64814.898.565.932.315.27.8
PIT8-30.63774.997.756.629.314.96.8
KC10-10.60081.0100.070.233.915.56.5
GB8-30.6183.193.153.322.910.35.0
DEN7-50.6341.279.241.020.410.44.7
BAL7-40.59824.888.742.819.99.23.9
WSH7-50.5963.979.038.615.56.83.1
HOU7-50.53294.795.438.315.16.02.1
TB5-60.55937.950.421.28.33.21.3
ARI6-50.51651.054.120.57.42.51.0
SEA6-50.50434.839.014.55.01.70.6
ATL6-50.44558.061.319.15.71.60.5
MIA5-60.4550.017.45.71.90.60.2
IND5-70.4354.217.95.61.70.50.1
SF5-60.5005.57.32.60.90.30.1
NO4-70.5044.06.92.50.80.30.1
CIN4-70.5020.34.31.60.60.20.1
LAR5-60.4208.79.42.70.70.20.1
CHI4-70.5090.00.40.10.00.00.0
TEN3-80.3410.91.10.20.10.00.0
NYJ3-80.4190.00.40.10.00.00.0
DAL4-70.3390.00.50.10.00.00.0
JAX2-90.3210.20.20.00.00.00.0
CLE3-80.3410.00.20.00.00.00.0
CAR3-80.2790.10.10.00.00.00.0
NE3-90.327-0.00.00.00.00.0
LV2-90.320-0.00.00.00.00.0
NYG2-90.315-0.00.00.00.00.0

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo (Week 11, Sunday)

First teams eliminated from a division: New England, Las Vegas, and New York Giants (Week 12, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 11, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 12, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo

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