Kansas City stayed undefeated by winning their game against Denver, but so narrowly that Buffalo passed them and is now the AFC favorite again. They were really one play away from losing, but as Denver was lining up the clock for their last-second field goal, I texted a friend that surely they would shank it, because I refuse to believe Kansas City can be stopped. Sure enough, it was a good kick (I think) but not quite high enough to avoid being blocked.
Also, here's my annual reminder that showing 100.0% chance at the playoffs is rounded from 99.95%+, whereas an actual clinch will display a plus (+), similar to how 0.0 is rounded down from below 0.05%, and an elimination will show a minus (-).
| TEAM | Record | Strength | Div | Plyff | WC | Qtr | Semi | Champ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 8-1 | 0.669 | 74.2 | 99.0 | 81.8 | 48.3 | 27.9 | 15.4 |
| BUF | 8-2 | 0.659 | 99.9 | 100.0 | 68.4 | 38.9 | 21.5 | 11.7 |
| KC | 9-0 | 0.614 | 88.4 | 100.0 | 81.5 | 42.7 | 20.8 | 10.3 |
| LAC | 6-3 | 0.656 | 11.4 | 95.9 | 58.4 | 31.8 | 17.5 | 9.5 |
| PHI | 7-2 | 0.633 | 57.9 | 96.2 | 63.2 | 34.4 | 17.8 | 9.1 |
| PIT | 7-2 | 0.638 | 67.6 | 98.5 | 62.0 | 32.9 | 17.2 | 9.0 |
| MIN | 7-2 | 0.624 | 21.4 | 92.4 | 59.0 | 30.3 | 15.5 | 7.8 |
| WSH | 7-3 | 0.620 | 42.1 | 94.7 | 59.6 | 31.0 | 15.6 | 7.7 |
| BAL | 7-3 | 0.597 | 32.1 | 96.8 | 49.7 | 23.5 | 11.2 | 5.4 |
| GB | 6-3 | 0.566 | 4.0 | 67.1 | 33.3 | 14.4 | 6.5 | 2.9 |
| ARI | 6-4 | 0.534 | 58.5 | 65.5 | 28.1 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 |
| ATL | 6-4 | 0.504 | 82.2 | 83.6 | 33.2 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| HOU | 6-4 | 0.496 | 92.2 | 94.9 | 36.3 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| DEN | 5-5 | 0.547 | 0.3 | 55.2 | 23.4 | 9.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| SF | 5-4 | 0.555 | 24.2 | 38.2 | 17.4 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| TB | 4-6 | 0.521 | 16.3 | 26.7 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| IND | 4-6 | 0.470 | 6.3 | 28.2 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| CIN | 4-6 | 0.513 | 0.3 | 17.7 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| LAR | 4-4 | 0.454 | 11.1 | 16.0 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| CHI | 4-5 | 0.518 | 0.3 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| SEA | 4-5 | 0.480 | 6.3 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| NO | 3-7 | 0.465 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| NYJ | 3-7 | 0.419 | 0.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| MIA | 2-6 | 0.372 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| JAX | 2-8 | 0.388 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NE | 3-7 | 0.370 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| TEN | 2-7 | 0.352 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CLE | 2-7 | 0.369 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DAL | 3-6 | 0.364 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LV | 2-7 | 0.358 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| CAR | 3-7 | 0.286 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| NYG | 2-8 | 0.358 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)
[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
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