2024-11-15

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 11, Thursday

Detroit over Buffalo

Philadelphia and Washington was a pretty evenly matched game between two good teams, and I thought the winner might take over the NFC. Philadelphia didn't quite get there after their win, but they're the 2nd most likely NFC Super Bowl representative now.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET8-10.66974.399.181.148.027.515.1
BUF8-20.65999.9100.068.739.121.611.7
PHI8-20.64782.099.270.740.421.511.3
KC9-00.61488.4100.081.642.720.810.2
LAC6-30.65611.495.858.331.817.59.4
PIT7-20.63867.598.461.932.817.28.9
MIN7-20.62421.593.158.930.115.37.7
WSH7-40.61017.990.852.625.912.76.2
BAL7-30.59732.196.449.623.411.25.3
GB6-30.5664.067.833.314.46.52.9
ARI6-40.53461.567.929.112.15.02.1
HOU6-40.49692.194.736.313.35.01.9
ATL6-40.50482.383.933.513.04.91.9
DEN5-50.5470.353.822.89.64.11.7
SF5-40.55525.940.518.47.93.51.5
TB4-60.52116.227.811.44.51.80.7
IND4-60.4706.428.09.83.41.20.4
CIN4-60.5130.317.26.82.61.00.4
CHI4-50.5180.37.73.21.20.50.2
SEA4-50.4807.010.94.11.40.50.2
LAR4-50.4385.67.72.60.80.30.1
NO3-70.4651.42.81.00.30.10.0
MIA3-60.3830.06.81.80.50.10.0
NYJ3-70.4190.14.11.20.40.10.0
JAX2-80.3890.71.40.40.10.00.0
TEN2-70.3520.91.40.30.10.00.0
NE3-70.3700.01.00.30.10.00.0
CLE2-70.3690.00.70.20.00.00.0
DAL3-60.3640.00.60.20.00.00.0
LV2-70.3580.00.40.10.00.00.0
CAR3-70.2860.20.20.00.00.00.0
NYG2-80.3580.00.00.00.00.00.0

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 10, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Final] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Thursday] Detroit over Kansas City
[Week 10, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 10, Final] Detroit over Buffalo

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