2024-11-05

Super Bowl LIX Projection, Week 9, Final

Detroit over Kansas City

Kansas City's Monday night victory moved them every so slightly ahead of Buffalo. The actual chances for them to win the AFC is 20.267% vs Buffalo's 20.256%. Buffalo appears higher here because I sort on the Super Bowl winning chances.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
DET7-10.66070.297.477.646.427.315.1
BUF7-20.64499.199.666.237.020.311.0
KC8-00.60583.299.779.041.120.310.2
WSH7-20.62162.396.366.936.919.39.9
PIT6-20.63866.395.560.633.117.99.6
LAC5-30.63913.689.752.828.515.48.3
MIN6-20.60821.485.253.127.314.07.0
PHI6-20.58437.387.252.025.712.45.8
BAL6-30.59730.886.945.622.210.95.4
GB6-30.5666.362.732.815.07.03.2
ATL6-30.50983.086.939.116.36.62.6
HOU6-30.50289.793.639.915.36.02.4
DEN5-40.5503.259.326.911.75.12.3
SF4-40.55025.633.515.67.03.11.4
TB4-50.52516.538.417.37.33.11.3
ARI5-40.48746.751.720.58.03.11.2
CHI4-40.5522.121.810.74.82.21.0
IND4-50.4908.534.113.35.01.90.7
CIN4-50.5152.923.99.94.01.60.7
LAR4-40.45418.122.38.22.91.00.4
SEA4-50.4809.712.95.01.90.70.3
NYJ3-60.4730.810.53.91.40.50.2
DAL3-50.4090.42.40.80.30.10.0
NO2-70.4600.51.10.40.10.10.0
JAX2-70.4030.82.00.60.20.10.0
MIA2-60.3710.02.30.60.20.00.0
TEN2-60.3691.01.90.50.10.00.0
CLE2-70.3690.00.50.10.00.00.0
LV2-70.3580.00.30.10.00.00.0
NE2-70.3500.00.30.10.00.00.0
NYG2-70.3660.00.10.00.00.00.0
CAR2-70.2950.10.10.00.00.00.0

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Buffalo and Kansas City (Week 8, Sunday)

[Week 1, Final] New Orleans over Los Angeles Chargers
[Week 2, Thursday] Buffalo over New Orleans
[Week 2, Sunday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 2, Final] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Thursday] Los Angeles Chargers over New Orleans
[Week 3, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh
[Week 3, Final] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Thursday] Minnesota over Buffalo
[Week 4, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 5, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Sunday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 6, Final] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Thursday] Minnesota over Kansas City
[Week 7, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 7, Final] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 8, Thursday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 8, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 8, Final] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Thursday] Detroit over Buffalo
[Week 9, Sunday] Detroit over Buffalo

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