2013 World Series Projection, October 3

St. Louis over Boston

Wildcard Round
TB 1-0 CLE
CIN 0-1 PIT

Team	Strength	LCS	WS	Win
STL	0.6228	64.99	38.42	21.18
BOS	0.6184	65.60	35.25	19.56
DET	0.6100	53.33	28.98	15.54
ATL	0.6030	60.09	31.03	15.71
OAK	0.5930	46.67	23.60	11.75
LAD	0.5499	39.91	16.01	6.25
PIT	0.5432	35.01	14.54	5.47
TB	0.5350	34.40	12.18	4.55

Boston got a boost when the slightly weaker Tampa Bay beat Cleveland to face the Red Sox. So far 3 of the 4 Wildcard games in 2012 and 2013 have been won by the #5 seed over the #4 seed. Assuming this format continues for awhile, it may be interesting to see the long-term numbers.

Today, the NLDSs begin, and tomorrow they continue along with the ALDSs, and we'll start to see some movement in the projections, assuming some underdogs win a game or two.