2013-10-15

2013 World Series Projection, October 15

St. Louis over Boston

League Championship Series
DET 1-1 BOS
LAD 1-2 STL

Division Series
TB 1-3 BOS
DET 3-2 OAK
PIT 2-3 STL
LAD 3-1 ATL

Wildcard Round
TB 1-0 CLE
CIN 0-1 PIT

TeamStrengthWSWin
STL0.622879.0541.08
BOS0.618451.6527.03
DET0.610048.3524.39
LAD0.549920.957.51

Los Angeles has ensured the NLCS will go to at least 5 games. If you looked at the pitching matchups for this series in advance, I think the reverse of all 3 results would be the typical expectation. Greinke and Kershaw against guys with a lot less name recognition or experience, Lynn and Wacha, would seem to tip the scales for LA, yet Wainwright against Ryu should normally go St. Louis's way. But, that's why they play the games. I've still got St. Louis and Boston favored to make the World Series, a rematch - with hopefully a different result - of 2004.

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