2012 World Series Projection, October 7

Divison Series
STL 0-0 WAS
SF 0-1 CIN
BAL 0-0 NYY
DET 1-0 OAK

Wildcard Round
STL 1-0 ATL
BAL 1-0 TEX

Team	Strength	LCS	WS	Win
NYY	0.5852	64.88	37.65	19.80
WAS	0.5952	53.61	31.48	18.38
CIN	0.5596	70.68	31.11	15.74
STL	0.5765	46.39	25.31	13.74
DET	0.5372	63.79	29.13	12.24
OAK	0.5690	36.21	19.02	9.31
SF	0.5468	29.32	12.09	5.78
BAL	0.5046	35.12	14.20	5.00

A 1-0 lead in a Best-of-5 series is clearly a big deal, as Cincinnati and Detroit are now 70% and 63% favorites, respectively, to make the LCS. I find it interesting that Cinncinnati's win lowers Washington's odds of making the World Series, which is obviously true because they are more likely to face a stronger NLCS opponent now. However, Washington's overall championship odds increased, presumably because of the loss by the stronger Oakland team to the weaker Detroit team, cascading all the way to the situations in which one of those two teams could face Washington.