World Series
STL 0-1 BOS
League Championship Series
DET 2-4 BOS
LAD 2-4 STL
Division Series
TB 1-3 BOS
DET 3-2 OAK
PIT 2-3 STL
LAD 3-1 ATL
Wildcard Round
TB 1-0 CLE
CIN 0-1 PIT
| Team | Strength | Win |
|---|---|---|
| STL | 0.6228 | 35.27 |
| BOS | 0.6184 | 64.73 |
Despite the blowout last night, I've got these two teams almost evenly matched, which means the favorite is always going to be the team that's leading. So the only interesting part of the projection is the percentage chance of winning. As the series moves on, ties at 1-1, 2-2, or 3-3 will put it even closer to a coin toss than my initial 51.03-48.97 projection. That's because each game favors St. Louis at just 50.47%, which would be their chances of winning game 7 in a 3-3 tie. Right now, though, you'd have to give me nearly 2:1 odds to take the Cardinals, were I more of a betting man.
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