Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 6, Sunday

Kansas City over Seattle

Combined, Kansas City and Denver win the AFC West title in 99.425% of my simulations, and the two division rivals are now the two strongest teams in the league. Now that New Orleans has lost, these are the only 2 undefeated teams left, and of course they can't both finish undefeated, as they have 2 games against each other in their future.

At the bottom of the league, Jacksonville and Tampa lost again, but Pittsburgh won, leaving 3 winless teams. There are no games between them, so it's still possible we could have 3 0-16 teams.

And somewhere around the middle, the St. Louis pulled off a win against the struggling Houston, a game that came at a time the Rams are on the move with a new starting running back, and the Texans were on a cold streak with 3 straight losses. The Rams are still down in the division thanks to San Francisco and Seattle, but a few more lucky breaks could increase their 11% chance of making the playoffs.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	6-0	0.660	59.295	97.448	81.881	48.837	28.977	16.979
DEN	6-0	0.622	40.130	94.231	70.631	37.516	20.276	11.060
SEA	5-1	0.621	75.074	91.989	78.829	45.318	25.304	13.160
NO	5-1	0.610	80.524	90.563	74.852	42.065	22.784	11.571
IND	4-1	0.608	82.016	87.665	65.857	35.685	17.932	9.511
CAR	2-3	0.595	17.925	39.159	24.509	12.785	6.688	3.295
NE	5-1	0.568	76.456	85.285	61.253	29.636	13.532	6.629
SF	4-2	0.556	19.484	64.364	39.705	18.900	9.108	4.132
DAL	3-3	0.551	60.154	65.746	38.923	18.327	8.604	3.858
GB	3-2	0.542	33.541	53.934	34.583	16.021	7.387	3.246
DET	4-2	0.540	38.868	62.497	40.122	18.534	8.507	3.726
TEN	3-3	0.530	16.511	37.121	19.726	8.545	3.635	1.642
CIN	4-2	0.524	52.339	62.263	36.097	15.383	6.373	2.843
CHI	4-2	0.519	26.592	47.764	28.267	12.351	5.405	2.252
MIA	3-2	0.494	17.226	37.024	19.775	7.765	3.009	1.254
SD	2-3	0.493	0.524	9.240	4.280	1.613	0.644	0.267
BAL	3-3	0.492	25.249	33.596	16.168	6.290	2.433	1.008
CLE	3-3	0.484	19.236	27.178	12.684	4.838	1.843	0.751
PHI	3-3	0.479	35.816	43.241	21.593	8.576	3.415	1.294
ATL	1-4	0.478	1.430	5.759	2.670	1.062	0.432	0.164
BUF	2-4	0.478	2.310	6.748	2.945	1.085	0.412	0.165
STL	3-3	0.475	2.645	11.334	5.429	2.147	0.868	0.326
ARI	3-3	0.463	2.797	15.450	7.162	2.731	1.065	0.388
MIN	1-4	0.447	0.999	2.785	1.232	0.446	0.167	0.059
PIT	1-4	0.439	3.176	4.668	1.808	0.602	0.206	0.075
OAK	2-4	0.438	0.052	4.085	1.590	0.511	0.177	0.065
WAS	1-4	0.436	3.795	4.791	1.906	0.670	0.242	0.082
NYJ	3-3	0.430	4.008	10.363	4.253	1.388	0.462	0.166
TB	0-5	0.407	0.121	0.361	0.135	0.045	0.016	0.005
HOU	2-4	0.379	1.437	3.017	1.037	0.303	0.089	0.027
NYG	0-6	0.352	0.235	0.264	0.082	0.023	0.007	0.002
JAC	0-6	0.328	0.037	0.066	0.017	0.004	0.001	0.000

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[Week 2, Final]
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[Week 6, Thursday]