Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 5, Final

Kansas City over New Orleans

An Interconference game always tweaks the odds just a little bit, especially when it's an upset. KC's odds of a trip to the Super Bowl went down by 0.013%, and New Orleans' went up by 0.041%. There's a certain randomness to my season simulations which could mean the shifts were even smaller (or larger). The Falcons' loss boosted New Orleans a bit more than it hurt Kansas City because, of course, they're both in the NFC South, and New Orleans is 4 wins ahead of them instead of 3, making Atlanta's division chances barely over 1%

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	5-0	0.630	54.369	90.793	73.491	42.191	24.049	13.624
NO	5-0	0.613	92.175	96.878	88.570	52.426	29.752	15.828
IND	4-1	0.608	75.082	83.751	64.844	36.050	19.116	10.391
SEA	4-1	0.603	69.974	88.999	74.540	43.001	23.430	12.219
DEN	5-0	0.600	43.493	86.891	65.469	34.658	18.437	9.871
NE	4-1	0.567	64.140	74.069	52.136	25.848	12.434	6.245
CAR	1-3	0.544	6.478	24.108	13.881	6.540	3.177	1.467
TEN	3-2	0.544	21.765	44.337	26.419	12.407	5.709	2.734
GB	2-2	0.536	32.933	50.560	32.288	15.144	7.112	3.225
SF	3-2	0.533	16.759	54.800	33.702	15.718	7.365	3.322
DAL	2-3	0.526	49.207	54.528	31.267	14.215	6.519	2.895
CIN	3-2	0.518	33.178	43.795	25.293	11.012	4.751	2.154
CLE	3-2	0.517	33.263	43.028	24.001	10.427	4.498	2.034
DET	3-2	0.515	33.645	53.992	32.967	14.728	6.600	2.858
CHI	3-2	0.508	28.377	46.367	27.225	11.933	5.277	2.251
BAL	3-2	0.496	32.057	40.330	21.529	8.891	3.646	1.572
MIA	3-2	0.494	19.579	34.110	19.017	7.855	3.208	1.378
SD	2-3	0.493	1.169	8.091	3.956	1.605	0.673	0.289
ARI	3-2	0.490	11.347	40.267	22.407	9.471	4.021	1.646
MIN	1-3	0.487	5.045	12.400	6.556	2.708	1.153	0.469
BUF	2-3	0.483	5.233	11.512	5.604	2.232	0.898	0.377
ATL	1-4	0.478	1.064	8.538	4.107	1.644	0.694	0.276
OAK	2-3	0.477	0.969	9.827	4.543	1.766	0.710	0.294
PHI	2-3	0.462	33.210	38.389	18.858	7.352	2.914	1.116
WAS	1-3	0.462	16.500	18.991	8.737	3.378	1.344	0.515
NYJ	3-2	0.461	11.048	20.666	10.065	3.810	1.444	0.576
STL	2-3	0.431	1.919	7.715	3.522	1.285	0.482	0.171
TB	0-4	0.425	0.284	2.176	0.915	0.319	0.118	0.041
PIT	0-4	0.424	1.502	2.017	0.783	0.265	0.091	0.033
HOU	2-3	0.416	3.085	6.635	2.802	0.970	0.333	0.118
NYG	0-5	0.370	1.082	1.290	0.458	0.137	0.043	0.013
JAC	0-5	0.353	0.067	0.147	0.046	0.013	0.004	0.001

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]
[Week 5, Thursday]
[Week 5, Sunday]