2019 Stanley Cup Projection, April 18

New York Islanders over Vegas

Round 1
COL 3-1 CGY
VGK 3-1 SJS
DAL 2-2 NSH
STL 2-2 WPG
CBJ 4-0 TBL
TOR 2-2 BOS
CAR 1-2 WSH
PIT 0-4 NYI

Team	Strength	Round 2	Round 3	Finals	Cup
NYI	0.575	100.0	54.3	28.2	15.9
BOS	0.592	56.6	34.1	19.6	11.8
CBJ	0.553	100.0	42.4	19.4	9.8
VGK	0.540	85.5	42.0	19.6	8.3
WSH	0.555	70.1	33.0	15.6	8.1
NSH	0.557	58.1	30.5	16.1	7.5
WPG	0.554	53.0	27.8	14.5	6.7
CGY	0.618	22.2	15.1	10.1	6.3
TOR	0.565	43.4	23.5	11.5	6.2
COL	0.528	77.8	35.4	15.5	6.2
STL	0.551	47.0	24.4	12.5	5.7
DAL	0.519	41.9	17.3	7.7	2.9
CAR	0.547	29.9	12.7	5.7	2.8
SJS	0.551	14.5	7.5	3.9	1.8

We're getting dangerously close to losing the top seed in the West, with Calgary down 3-1 and with a 22.2% chance of advancing. Vegas is now in the lead, with a 19.6% chance of returning to the final. The Central division portion of the bracket is the most even, with both series at 2-2 reasonably close to 50/50. Vegas can win their series tonight, St. Louis and Winnipeg will untie their series, and Washington and Carolina are only on game 4.