Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 16, Saturday

San Francisco over New England

New England really took advantage of Baltimore and Pittsburgh's slip-ups last week, and now they've got a first round bye. Have I mentioned my distaste for New England? San Francisco has continued to get stronger as well, and despite not yet clinching a bye, has a better than 1 in 4 chance at winning it all.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	12-3	+	+	99.649	65.568	40.258	25.078
GB	13-1	+	+	+	66.409	32.330	18.127
NO	11-3	91.019	+	63.034	24.965	12.625	6.507
NE	12-3	+	+	+	59.412	30.848	14.149
PIT	11-4	28.975	+	87.913	44.707	23.348	10.558
BAL	11-4	71.025	+	94.950	49.682	25.333	11.281
HOU	10-5	+	+	69.968	34.413	17.099	7.550
DET	10-5	-	+	57.994	20.317	7.588	3.240
ATL	9-5	8.981	98.485	41.211	13.261	4.527	1.766
DAL	8-7	62.254	62.254	26.179	7.206	2.186	0.764
CIN	9-6	-	50.641	16.998	5.458	1.852	0.535
CHI	7-7	-	1.515	0.460	0.123	0.034	0.011
NYJ	8-7	-	17.674	5.428	1.603	0.498	0.131
TEN	8-7	-	14.229	4.188	1.183	0.352	0.089
NYG	8-7	37.746	37.746	11.473	2.151	0.452	0.111
OAK	8-7	12.821	30.277	5.858	1.098	0.223	0.037
DEN	8-7	87.179	87.179	14.698	2.443	0.447	0.065

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 16, Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)