So, NFL.com doesn't list Green Bay as having clinched a first round bye yet, but that + in the Wildcard round indicates that all 1.5 billion simulations had them either with a bye or winning their opening round game. I suppose I need another column of stats, because they're probably something like 99.99% likely to get a bye, and in the few remaining scenarios they win every time.
Eliminated Sunday were Miami, Buffalo (after such a promising start), Carolina, Washington, and Tampa Bay. The Rams crawled out of the #32 slot, but tonight's likely massacre will surely put them right back down there.
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay? (week 14, Sunday)