2011-12-09

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 14, Thursday

San Francisco over Houston

Pittsburgh's strength ranking moved up two slots above New England and New Orleans, but still just below division rival Baltimore.  Despite now being up a half game on Baltimore, Pittsburgh still only holds a 30.5% chance of winning the AFC North.  Cleveland is officially eliminated from the AFC playoffs.  Since only the AFC North played yesterday, I guess I should cover the Bengals too.  They've outdone themselves this year, winning more than the strength formula says they should, but being in a division with Pittsburgh and Baltimore is going to make it very hard for them to make the playoffs

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF10-2++98.14662.44537.12421.339
HOU9-399.26899.60583.83547.98526.78614.036
GB12-0++99.97564.97132.67417.313
BAL9-369.47499.74390.65251.36726.44713.141
PIT10-330.52399.98180.55740.45520.0609.570
NE9-398.88099.64484.97842.74121.23010.054
NO9-395.46499.82464.55927.35213.8536.752
CHI7-5-70.85133.50511.7694.4701.746
DET7-5-57.99928.65510.0103.7851.478
DAL7-584.87487.21042.68413.9775.0241.871
MIA4-8-0.0050.0020.0010.0000.000
NYJ7-51.10946.14616.4115.6262.0190.687
ATL7-54.53663.98425.6657.9602.6960.936
TEN7-50.73229.79610.1143.3721.1760.385
CIN7-50.00317.9295.9501.9330.6510.207
SD5-72.0382.5190.7560.2190.0660.019
PHI4-80.5020.5320.2030.0500.0130.004
BUF5-70.0110.1060.0300.0070.0020.000
NYG6-614.61516.0245.6381.2570.3110.080
CAR4-8-0.0120.0030.0010.0000.000
OAK7-533.76138.5369.9382.3970.6050.145
SEA5-7-2.3240.6460.1410.0340.008
DEN7-562.05163.83316.4863.8600.9530.223
ARI5-7-1.1280.2970.0630.0150.004
WAS4-80.0090.0810.0180.0030.0010.000
MIN2-10------
CLE4-9------
TB4-8-0.0310.0050.0010.0000.000
JAC3-9------
KC5-72.1502.1560.2910.0380.0050.001
IND0-12------
STL2-10------
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)

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