Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 15, Sunday

Green Bay over New England

After Thursday, I had Green Bay and Baltimore in the championship, and both teams lost yesterday. Green Bay retained their Super Bowl slot, but Baltimore has slipped behind New England and is only slightly ahead of Pittsburgh.  Tonight's game has two teams near the top, so it could adjust either side of the projection for tomorrow.  On a side note, I have a years-old dislike of the Patriots, ever since they beat the Rams in Superbowl XXXVI and there should have been a few seconds left on the clock.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
GB	13-1	+	+	+	67.946	36.778	21.272
SF	10-3	+	+	89.280	51.907	28.611	16.404
NO	11-3	92.711	+	76.417	37.074	19.025	10.152
NE	11-3	+	+	93.932	55.113	29.425	14.255
HOU	10-4	+	+	76.284	41.069	21.442	10.232
BAL	10-4	43.420	+	86.660	44.114	22.479	10.370
PIT	10-3	56.580	+	89.772	45.026	22.069	9.881
ATL	9-5	7.289	96.176	42.607	14.289	5.489	2.237
DET	9-5	-	87.796	41.118	13.412	4.876	1.927
DAL	8-6	83.795	83.864	40.288	12.915	4.515	1.753
PHI	6-8	6.351	6.351	2.776	0.789	0.246	0.086
NYJ	8-6	-	51.798	17.206	5.728	2.068	0.649
SD	7-7	4.604	18.893	6.185	2.006	0.701	0.214
CIN	8-6	-	18.227	5.872	1.886	0.662	0.201
CHI	7-7	-	6.567	2.058	0.552	0.181	0.061
MIA	5-9	-	-	-	-	-	-
SEA	7-7	-	5.062	1.398	0.351	0.113	0.036
TEN	7-7	-	5.680	1.636	0.464	0.143	0.038
CAR	5-9	-	-	-	-	-	-
ARI	7-7	-	4.074	0.917	0.172	0.041	0.010
NYG	7-7	9.854	10.110	3.141	0.594	0.126	0.030
BUF	5-9	-	-	-	-	-	-
DEN	8-6	84.926	86.544	18.996	3.951	0.877	0.169
WAS	5-9	-	-	-	-	-	-
OAK	7-7	6.933	15.321	3.077	0.603	0.129	0.023
MIN	2-12	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	4-10	-	-	-	-	-	-
JAC	4-10	-	-	-	-	-	-
TB	4-10	-	-	-	-	-	-
KC	6-8	3.536	3.536	0.381	0.039	0.004	0.000
IND	1-13	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	2-12	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)