2011-12-19

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 15, Sunday

Green Bay over New England

After Thursday, I had Green Bay and Baltimore in the championship, and both teams lost yesterday. Green Bay retained their Super Bowl slot, but Baltimore has slipped behind New England and is only slightly ahead of Pittsburgh.  Tonight's game has two teams near the top, so it could adjust either side of the projection for tomorrow.  On a side note, I have a years-old dislike of the Patriots, ever since they beat the Rams in Superbowl XXXVI and there should have been a few seconds left on the clock.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
GB13-1+++67.94636.77821.272
SF10-3++89.28051.90728.61116.404
NO11-392.711+76.41737.07419.02510.152
NE11-3++93.93255.11329.42514.255
HOU10-4++76.28441.06921.44210.232
BAL10-443.420+86.66044.11422.47910.370
PIT10-356.580+89.77245.02622.0699.881
ATL9-57.28996.17642.60714.2895.4892.237
DET9-5-87.79641.11813.4124.8761.927
DAL8-683.79583.86440.28812.9154.5151.753
PHI6-86.3516.3512.7760.7890.2460.086
NYJ8-6-51.79817.2065.7282.0680.649
SD7-74.60418.8936.1852.0060.7010.214
CIN8-6-18.2275.8721.8860.6620.201
CHI7-7-6.5672.0580.5520.1810.061
MIA5-9------
SEA7-7-5.0621.3980.3510.1130.036
TEN7-7-5.6801.6360.4640.1430.038
CAR5-9------
ARI7-7-4.0740.9170.1720.0410.010
NYG7-79.85410.1103.1410.5940.1260.030
BUF5-9------
DEN8-684.92686.54418.9963.9510.8770.169
WAS5-9------
OAK7-76.93315.3213.0770.6030.1290.023
MIN2-12------
CLE4-10------
JAC4-10------
TB4-10------
KC6-83.5363.5360.3810.0390.0040.000
IND1-13------
STL2-12------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)

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