Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 16, Final

San Francisco over New England

Green Bay is just barely behind San Francisco in the NFC now. The big win by New Orleans over Atlanta ate away at the SF and GB leads.

I've got just one regular season post left, as all the games will be on Sunday in Week 17.  Just like last year, the all-divisonal week 17 format worked out for the NFL, as they get a winner-take-all primetime game in Dallas vs. New York for the NFC East title.  Like I said before, I hope either Oakland or Denver can win next week, so that all of the playoff teams have 9+ wins.

Finally, let's go Colts! There's no way the Rams beat San Francisco this week (officially I have it at 2.79%), so all I need is a Colts win (35.09% chance) and we get our second #1 pick in 3 years.  Not something to be proud of, but maybe it's something we can use to turn things around, either with a high profile guy, or a trade down for multiple high picks.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	12-3	+	+	99.510	60.209	35.668	22.222
GB	14-1	+	+	+	70.805	35.470	20.885
NO	12-3	+	+	72.877	32.150	17.138	9.679
NE	12-3	+	+	+	59.423	30.860	13.601
PIT	11-4	28.973	+	87.926	44.710	23.351	10.143
BAL	11-4	71.027	+	94.956	49.680	25.326	10.824
HOU	10-5	+	+	69.975	34.422	17.098	7.244
DET	10-5	-	+	62.491	20.793	7.331	3.132
DAL	8-7	62.266	62.266	26.051	6.881	1.946	0.679
CIN	9-6	-	50.641	16.995	5.452	1.849	0.506
ATL	9-6	-	+	27.613	7.113	2.049	0.683
NYJ	8-7	-	17.680	5.429	1.601	0.497	0.124
TEN	8-7	-	14.216	4.183	1.181	0.351	0.083
NYG	8-7	37.734	37.734	11.458	2.048	0.398	0.098
OAK	8-7	12.816	30.279	5.855	1.095	0.222	0.035
DEN	8-7	87.184	87.184	14.680	2.436	0.446	0.061

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)

First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)

First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 25% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 16, Saturday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)

First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)

First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)

First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)

First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)

First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)

First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)