Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 13, Sunday

San Francisco over Houston

San Francisco and Green Bay have clinched their divisions, and San Francisco looks artificially strong after destroying my Rams 26-0 yesterday.  More analysis to come after MNF.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	10-2	+	+	98.245	62.524	37.167	21.560
HOU	9-3	99.307	99.635	84.332	49.140	27.897	14.617
GB	12-0	+	+	99.975	64.951	32.662	17.485
BAL	9-3	76.902	99.762	91.924	53.879	28.053	13.937
NE	9-3	98.879	99.642	85.006	43.570	22.005	10.419
NO	9-3	95.604	99.822	64.418	27.272	13.809	6.807
PIT	9-3	23.080	99.741	76.105	35.199	16.253	7.198
CHI	7-5	-	70.618	33.340	11.706	4.446	1.761
DET	7-5	-	59.767	29.561	10.320	3.902	1.544
DAL	7-5	84.882	87.262	42.669	13.964	5.018	1.896
MIA	4-8	-	0.006	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.000
NYJ	7-5	1.109	45.872	16.577	5.717	2.106	0.716
ATL	7-5	4.396	62.345	24.971	7.745	2.622	0.924
TEN	7-5	0.693	29.047	9.991	3.356	1.202	0.394
CIN	7-5	0.018	18.691	6.286	2.066	0.714	0.227
PHI	4-8	0.502	0.532	0.203	0.050	0.013	0.004
BUF	5-7	0.012	0.124	0.035	0.009	0.002	0.001
SD	4-7	0.937	1.147	0.321	0.082	0.022	0.006
NYG	6-6	14.607	16.087	5.650	1.259	0.311	0.082
CAR	4-8	-	0.014	0.004	0.001	0.000	0.000
OAK	7-5	35.783	41.027	11.425	2.773	0.706	0.169
SEA	5-7	-	2.328	0.648	0.141	0.034	0.008
DEN	7-5	61.084	63.100	17.666	4.165	1.034	0.242
ARI	5-7	-	1.111	0.292	0.063	0.015	0.004
WAS	4-8	0.008	0.083	0.019	0.003	0.001	0.000
MIN	2-10	-	-	-	-	-	-
CLE	4-8	-	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
JAC	3-8	-	0.004	0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000
TB	4-8	-	0.030	0.005	0.001	0.000	0.000
KC	5-7	2.196	2.204	0.330	0.043	0.006	0.001
IND	0-12	-	-	-	-	-	-
STL	2-10	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 12, Sunday)