2016-10-08

2016 World Series Projection, October 8

Chicago over Cleveland

Division Series
TOR 2-0 TEX
BOS 0-2 CLE
SF 0-1 CHC
LAD 1-0 WAS


Wildcard Round
BAL 0-1 TOR
SF 1-0 NYM

TeamStrengthLCSWSWin
CHC0.668283.7058.9242.61
BOS0.608416.179.954.47
WAS0.601838.0114.748.56
CLE0.564883.8343.5315.59
TOR0.560991.2543.4015.20
LAD0.559661.9918.829.15
SF0.558316.307.523.64
TEX0.50498.753.120.78

Chicago didn't come out and score 10 runs in the first inning like some suspected might happen, but they kept San Francisco from scoring too, and eventually took game 1. They're now extremely favored to win the World Series, nearly 3x their next closest competitor. The Dodgers upset the Nationals, so they're now about 62% likely to win that series. Cleveland took over the AL lead with another upset of Boston. They're less likely than Toronto to make it to the ALCS, but once there, would be favored over either opponent, and are just barely ahead of Toronto's chances of winning the AL. The AL is off today, and both NLDS play game 2.

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