Superbowl LI Projection, Week 5, Final

Minnesota over Pittsburgh

Monday night featured a 2-1 team vs a 2-2 team, so nothing much changed near the top. Even with Green Bay's win to move to 3-1, they are a game and a half behind Minnesota in the division.

In the AFC, I was happy to see my results from yesterday of Pittsburgh being just slightly ahead of New England confirmed, since it was close enough I thought it could have simply been an issue of the margin of error. Pittsburgh is still your AFC favorite, but by just a little.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
MIN	5-0	0.616	82.03	94.38	83.09	47.90	26.85	15.09
PHI	3-1	0.605	44.64	69.17	51.27	28.25	15.22	8.39
NE	4-1	0.589	63.09	84.11	66.20	36.75	20.07	10.37
PIT	4-1	0.584	71.46	85.95	68.96	38.05	20.49	10.49
DEN	4-1	0.580	54.42	80.47	63.29	34.56	18.32	9.30
DAL	4-1	0.575	43.05	72.81	52.12	26.83	13.54	7.05
BUF	3-2	0.565	34.30	61.22	41.33	21.36	11.04	5.44
SEA	3-1	0.564	55.75	65.89	44.60	22.18	10.89	5.55
ATL	4-1	0.550	79.68	83.33	56.55	27.33	12.97	6.43
ARI	2-3	0.548	21.98	35.23	20.79	9.85	4.69	2.31
GB	3-1	0.530	14.62	54.17	31.50	14.28	6.59	3.14
SD	1-4	0.516	2.43	10.00	5.39	2.46	1.15	0.51
BAL	3-2	0.515	23.51	47.49	28.84	13.35	6.19	2.74
OAK	4-1	0.508	33.56	67.61	45.18	20.62	9.29	4.05
DET	2-3	0.489	2.81	15.94	7.84	3.22	1.36	0.59
WAS	3-2	0.486	8.97	26.92	14.26	5.92	2.46	1.06
IND	2-3	0.482	23.38	28.00	14.10	5.94	2.52	1.03
KC	2-2	0.481	9.58	25.38	13.85	5.90	2.52	1.03
CAR	1-4	0.478	4.26	7.63	3.51	1.40	0.57	0.24
TEN	2-3	0.478	23.29	28.23	14.07	5.89	2.48	1.01
NO	1-3	0.476	8.28	13.58	6.48	2.58	1.04	0.44
CIN	2-3	0.459	4.79	14.18	6.95	2.80	1.15	0.45
NYG	2-3	0.456	3.34	10.39	4.83	1.85	0.72	0.29
JAC	1-3	0.451	14.44	16.61	7.56	2.95	1.16	0.44
SF	1-4	0.448	2.80	4.43	1.89	0.70	0.26	0.10
HOU	3-2	0.447	38.88	43.62	21.21	8.23	3.20	1.21
LA	3-2	0.443	19.47	31.50	15.29	5.66	2.10	0.82
MIA	1-4	0.434	1.13	3.21	1.43	0.55	0.21	0.08
NYJ	1-4	0.418	1.48	3.31	1.40	0.51	0.19	0.07
CHI	1-4	0.417	0.55	2.88	1.15	0.40	0.14	0.05
TB	2-3	0.414	7.79	11.74	4.84	1.65	0.57	0.21
CLE	0-5	0.397	0.24	0.62	0.24	0.08	0.03	0.01

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: New England (Week 3, Thursday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: New England (Week 3, Thursday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Minnesota (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Thursday] San Francisco over Houston
[Week 2, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Minnesota
[Week 2, Final] Philadelphia over Houston
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Philadelphia
[Week 3, Sunday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 3, Final] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Thursday] Philadelphia over New England
[Week 4, Sunday] Philadelphia over Denver
[Week 4, Final] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Thursday] Minnesota over Denver
[Week 5, Sunday] Minnesota over Pittsburgh