2016-05-25

2016 Stanley Cup Projection, May 25

Pittsburgh over Tampa Bay

Conference Finals
TBL 3-3 PIT
SJS 3-2 STL

Round 2
STL 4-3 DAL
NSH 3-4 SJS
PIT 4-2 WSH
NYI 1-4 TBL

Round 1
MIN 2-4 DAL
CHI 3-4 STL
NSH 4-3 ANA
SJS 4-1 LAK
NYI 4-2 FLA
DET 1-4 TBL
PHI 2-4 WSH
NYR 1-4 PIT


TeamStrengthFinalsCup
SJS0.56876.736.3
PIT0.59358.333.2
TBL0.56141.719.8
STL0.55423.310.7

My projection hasn't been very stable this year, because each series keeps flip flopping back and forth. Pittsburgh tied their series and will be 58.3% likely to win Game 7 tomorrow. Tonight St. Louis will have to win in San Jose to force a Game 7 back home. They've been alternately dominant and walked over in this series, so pretty much anything could happen, but I have them with just a 43.5% chance of winning tonight.

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