2015-11-02

2015 World Series Projections Wrapup

I almost felt like the end of this World Series sneaked up on me, even though obviously once Kansas City was up 3-1 it could end with any game. But once again I've put together a little graph of everyone's championship chances throughout the playoffs. Being a fan of Toronto must have been exhausting this October, coming back from down 2-0 to beat Texas 3-2 in the ALDS, then falling behind 2-0 to Kansas City in the ALCS, but never quite catching back up.


Worst position for Kansas City: 5.46% on October 12, down 2-1 to Houston in the ALDS.

Best position for New York Mets: 48.62% on October 23, before the World Series began

Best position for an LCS loser: 43.88% for Toronto on October 16 before the ALCS started, when slightly weaker New York beat Los Angeles to bump everyone else's chances slightly.

Best position for an LDS loser: 25.64% for St. Louis October 10, up 1-0 against Chicago in the NLDS.

Best position for a Wildcard loser: 5.96% for Pittsburgh, before the playoffs began.

Finally, here are the full playoff results for 2014:

Kansas City over New York

World Series
NYM 1-4 KC

League Championship Series
KC 4-2 TOR
CHI 0-4 NYM

Division Series
TEX 2-3 TOR
HOU 2-3 KC
NYM 3-2 LAD
CHI 3-1 STL

Wildcard Round
HOU 1-0 NYY
CHI 1-0 PIT

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