2015-10-18

2015 World Series Projection, October 18

Kansas City over New York

League Championship Series
KC 2-0 TOR
CHI 0-1 NYM

Division Series
TEX 2-3 TOR
HOU 2-3 KC
NYM 3-2 LAD
CHI 3-1 STL

Wildcard Round
HOU 1-0 NYY
CHI 1-0 PIT

TeamStrengthWSWin
TOR0.628729.4919.68
CHI0.557535.8516.35
KC0.556070.5135.79
NYM0.549864.1528.18


The Mets have become the NL favorite for the first time this year, and Kansas City is in the driver's seat in the AL up 2-0. No matter who ultimately wins, a fairly long world championship drought will end. It may be 22 years for Toronto, 29 years for New York, 30 years for Kansas City, or 107 for Chicago. The last sizeable streak to end was 56 years from 1954-2010 by the New York/San Francisco Giants. With 30 teams and decent parity, it makes sense we'd have streaks longer than 30 years end fairly often, so really the first three teams aren't outliers by that far. What is unusual is that we're already down to only teams with long streaks of no wins, with 4 still in the hunt.

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