Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 6

San Francisco over Baltimore.

How about that, it's stabilizing. Week 5 also had the Niners over Ravens.  The Rams, Colts, and Dolphins now have less than a 1 in 10,000 chance of winning it all.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
GB	6-0	65.23	95.48	82.49	47.40	26.05	14.62
SF	5-1	95.43	97.75	86.82	50.97	27.68	15.52
BAL	4-1	59.92	82.18	68.10	39.81	22.94	12.25
DET	5-1	33.16	86.43	63.29	33.56	17.75	9.64
NE	5-1	62.24	86.61	69.39	36.99	19.16	9.39
BUF	4-2	30.18	64.01	43.66	22.05	11.00	5.21
CIN	4-2	23.16	51.53	34.40	16.99	8.41	3.91
NO	4-2	57.54	69.65	41.72	18.53	8.34	3.98
PIT	4-2	15.53	42.78	26.74	12.73	6.11	2.75
HOU	3-3	50.44	55.07	29.65	13.83	6.47	2.87
WAS	3-2	34.27	51.12	28.96	12.53	5.51	2.57
NYJ	3-3	7.53	21.71	12.41	5.75	2.66	1.16
CHI	3-3	1.58	13.66	7.49	3.21	1.45	0.67
TEN	3-2	47.72	55.28	31.25	14.31	6.54	2.84
SD	4-1	53.82	66.00	41.91	19.04	8.61	3.71
OAK	4-2	42.44	60.37	36.56	16.40	7.35	3.13
NYG	4-2	36.14	51.67	28.37	11.69	4.88	2.17
PHI	2-4	9.69	16.67	7.77	3.03	1.24	0.54
DAL	2-3	19.89	31.08	15.13	5.81	2.30	0.97
ATL	3-3	15.35	25.68	11.87	4.41	1.71	0.70
MIN	1-5	0.03	0.43	0.19	0.07	0.03	0.01
ARI	1-4	1.36	4.23	1.81	0.65	0.24	0.09
CAR	1-5	1.19	2.05	0.81	0.27	0.10	0.04
CLE	2-3	1.39	4.65	2.16	0.83	0.32	0.12
SEA	2-3	3.08	14.66	6.51	2.26	0.80	0.30
DEN	1-4	1.52	3.43	1.46	0.53	0.20	0.07
TB	4-2	25.92	39.13	16.67	5.58	1.93	0.71
MIA	0-5	0.05	0.20	0.07	0.02	0.01	0.00
IND	0-6	0.40	0.41	0.14	0.05	0.02	0.00
KC	2-3	2.22	4.20	1.59	0.50	0.16	0.05
JAC	1-5	1.44	1.57	0.50	0.15	0.05	0.01
STL	0-5	0.12	0.30	0.10	0.03	0.01	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)

First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)

First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)