Round 2
COL 1-1 SJS
DAL 1-2 STL
CBJ 1-1 BOS
CAR 2-0 NYI
Round 1
COL 4-1 CGY
VGK 3-4 SJS
DAL 4-2 NSH
STL 4-2 WPG
CBJ 4-0 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CAR 4-3 WSH
PIT 0-4 NYI
| Team | Strength | Round 3 | Finals | Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0.592 | 55.6 | 33.4 | 20.9 |
| CAR | 0.547 | 79.0 | 34.6 | 17.9 |
| STL | 0.551 | 73.4 | 38.4 | 17.6 |
| SJS | 0.551 | 52.5 | 28.0 | 13.1 |
| CBJ | 0.553 | 44.4 | 21.5 | 11.2 |
| COL | 0.528 | 47.5 | 21.5 | 8.6 |
| NYI | 0.575 | 21.0 | 10.5 | 6.1 |
| DAL | 0.519 | 26.6 | 12.1 | 4.6 |
With a 2-1 series lead, St. Louis is now the favorite in the West. I realized that my table itself doesn't capture the projected matchup and winner correctly. Carolina is indeed the most likely team to win in the East, and is weaker than St. Louis, so I initially wrote "St. Louis over Carolina" at the top. However, since I take home ice into account, Carolina would be 50.7% likely to win that series, as both teams have 99 points and (if I have implemented it correctly), Carolina would get home ice advantage based on tiebreakers. Also, annoyingly, Boston is still the overall favorite, despite not being the Eastern conference favorite.
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