It's College World Series time again, which means the annual contest at Autographed Cards is on. You've got until 11am Central Time tomorrow (Friday) to enter phase 1, which can give you a few extra points to help give you a head start for the main part of the contest. Right now, you'll just need to pick the 8 teams that will advance from each 8-team Super-Regional.
This is the 9th annual contest, and my 8th time participating. I said I was due for a win when I promoted the contest in 2016, but I actually managed to lock up a win in 2017 before the final game. I can't seem to find a post where I showed off my prizes, though, so I need to dig those out and get that done.
SLU is in the field for the first time since 2013, but as a #4 seed in their regional. I'm not sure they can pull off winning the title, but I do need them to at least beat Missouri State to avoid being razzed by a few of my friends who are alumni from there.
2018-05-31
2018 Stanley Cup Projection, May 31
Vegas over Washington
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 1-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
The series is tied at 1 and headed to Washington, but Vegas is still favored to win. Game 2 was another close one, which would have probably gone to overtime if not for a pretty amazing save with 2 minutes to go.
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 1-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
| Team | Strength | Cup |
|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0.587 | 57.0 |
| WSH | 0.540 | 43.0 |
The series is tied at 1 and headed to Washington, but Vegas is still favored to win. Game 2 was another close one, which would have probably gone to overtime if not for a pretty amazing save with 2 minutes to go.
2018-05-29
2018 Stanley Cup Projection, May 29
Vegas over Washington
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 0-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 0-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
| Team | Strength | Cup |
|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0.587 | 74.2 |
| WSH | 0.540 | 25.8 |
After a high-scoring game 1, Vegas is nearly 3-to-1 favorites to win the cup. Washington could really use a win in game 2 to take away the overall home ice advantage. Neither team really looked dominant to me last night, but Vegas wound up with one more goal than Washington, with a bonus empty-net added with seconds to go.
2018-05-28
2018 Stanley Cup Projection, May 28
Vegas over Washington
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 0-0 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 0-0 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
| Team | Strength | Cup |
|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0.587 | 61.8 |
| WSH | 0.540 | 38.2 |
Just before the final begins, I'm back with my projections. I missed a few rounds, but we're down to the important games. I've got Vegas with a 61.8% chance of becoming the first expansion team to win the title in the modern era of any major sports. (It's hard to say what exactly is modern or major, but let's say it cuts off sometime after/higher than the last time an expansion team won in their first year).
Like in past years, I've assumed a 55% home ice advantage, but Vegas has a considerable strength advantage over Washington as well. As usual, I'm a little bit conflicted, because while I'd like to see Ovechkin win a cup, I'll also enjoy the quirkiness of an expansion team winning. I'll say the series will go to at least 6 games, staying close the whole way.
Like in past years, I've assumed a 55% home ice advantage, but Vegas has a considerable strength advantage over Washington as well. As usual, I'm a little bit conflicted, because while I'd like to see Ovechkin win a cup, I'll also enjoy the quirkiness of an expansion team winning. I'll say the series will go to at least 6 games, staying close the whole way.
2018-05-18
I'm back, and so is The Daily Dimwit
I'm not sure if anyone really noticed, but I took a little hiatus there. I've been busy, and my card collection hasn't been conveniently accessible to me for a little while, so I got a bit lazy once the football season ended. So lazy, in fact, that I didn't even start tracking NHL playoff probabilities. I'll pick those up for the Final I suppose.
Much more interesting is the return of the much more prolific blogger Sam of The Daily Dimwit. Not only is it interesting because you'll see cooler stuff on his blog, but because he's offering a contest to announce his return. It's just a little relic card...
...of one of the most historically significant players ever. It's a Jackie Robinson Game-Used bat just in case you can't read it. You've got to tweet or blog about the contest before next Wednesday to enter, so get to it!
Much more interesting is the return of the much more prolific blogger Sam of The Daily Dimwit. Not only is it interesting because you'll see cooler stuff on his blog, but because he's offering a contest to announce his return. It's just a little relic card...
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| 2004 Topps Clubhouse Collection - #JR Jackie Robinson |
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