2017-06-13

2017 Stanley Cup Projection Recap

Pittsburgh managed to win a road game and took the Stanley Cup in Nashville. As is tradition, I've made a stacked graph of every playoff team's chances throughout the playoffs.



Worst position for Pittsburgh: 5.5% on April 11, at the start of the playoffs. A bit worse than a random 1 in 16 chance.

Best position for Nashville: 43.4% on May 24, after clinching their spot in the final but before Pittsburgh was in.

Best position for a Conference Finals loser: 29.3% for Anaheim on May 19, tied 2-2 with Nashville in the Western Conference Finals.

Best position for a Second Round loser: 42.1% for Washington on May 10, tied 3-3 with Pittsburgh just before their elimination, and also on April 24, when round 1 finished.

Best position for a First Round loser: Minnesota, on April 11, at the start of the playoffs. I had them projected on a relatively easy path.

Here are the full playoff results:

Pittsburgh over Nashville

Stanley Cup Final
NSH 2-4 PIT

Round 3
NSH 4-2 ANA
OTT 3-4 PIT

Round 2
NSH 4-2 STL
EDM 3-4 ANA
PIT 4-3 WSH
NYR 2-4 OTT

Round 1
NSH 4-0 CHI
STL 4-1 MIN
CGY 0-4 ANA
SJS 2-4 EDM
TOR 2-4 WSH
CBJ 1-4 PIT
NYR 4-2 MON
BOS 2-4 OTT

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