Round 1
NSH 1-0 CHI
STL 2-0 MIN
CGY 0-1 ANA
SJS 1-1 EDM
TOR 0-1 WSH
CBJ 0-2 PIT
NYR 1-1 MON
BOS 1-0 OTT
Team | Strength | Round 2 | Round 3 | Finals | Cup |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
WSH | 0.676 | 89.3 | 61.6 | 47.2 | 35.8 |
PIT | 0.592 | 76.2 | 25.7 | 15.3 | 8.9 |
EDM | 0.576 | 53.5 | 30.2 | 16.3 | 6.3 |
ANA | 0.554 | 73.4 | 36.5 | 18.0 | 6.3 |
MIN | 0.621 | 29.2 | 19.3 | 12.7 | 6.2 |
NYR | 0.575 | 54.6 | 31.1 | 10.4 | 5.5 |
STL | 0.537 | 70.8 | 34.0 | 15.5 | 4.9 |
BOS | 0.549 | 75.1 | 34.5 | 9.9 | 4.6 |
CHI | 0.568 | 40.7 | 21.5 | 11.7 | 4.4 |
MON | 0.561 | 45.4 | 25.8 | 8.0 | 4.0 |
CBJ | 0.620 | 23.8 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 3.9 |
SJS | 0.547 | 46.5 | 23.3 | 10.9 | 3.6 |
NSH | 0.534 | 59.3 | 25.3 | 11.1 | 3.4 |
CGY | 0.511 | 26.6 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
OTT | 0.495 | 24.9 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
TOR | 0.518 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
I've got one of those odd situations due to how I frame my projections. Edmonton is the Western Conference team most likely to win the cup, but Anaheim is team most likely to win the West. That's because while Anaheim is better positioned to make the finals (up 1-0 instead of tied 1-1), Edmonton is much stronger, and would be more likely to beat whatever team they faced from the East. Of course, with only 1 or 2 games played in each series, the projections are still pretty volatile, so don't place your arbitrage wagers just yet.
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