2017-04-15

2017 Stanley Cup Projection, April 15

Washington over Anaheim

Round 1
NSH 1-0 CHI
STL 2-0 MIN
CGY 0-1 ANA
SJS 1-1 EDM
TOR 0-1 WSH
CBJ 0-2 PIT
NYR 1-1 MON
BOS 1-0 OTT

TeamStrengthRound 2Round 3FinalsCup
WSH0.67689.361.647.235.8
PIT0.59276.225.715.38.9
EDM0.57653.530.216.36.3
ANA0.55473.436.518.06.3
MIN0.62129.219.312.76.2
NYR0.57554.631.110.45.5
STL0.53770.834.015.54.9
BOS0.54975.134.59.94.6
CHI0.56840.721.511.74.4
MON0.56145.425.88.04.0
CBJ0.62023.89.46.13.9
SJS0.54746.523.310.93.6
NSH0.53459.325.311.13.4
CGY0.51126.610.03.91.0
OTT0.49524.98.61.70.6
TOR0.51810.73.41.40.5

I've got one of those odd situations due to how I frame my projections. Edmonton is the Western Conference team most likely  to win the cup, but Anaheim is team most likely to win the West. That's because while Anaheim is better positioned to make the finals (up 1-0 instead of tied 1-1), Edmonton is much stronger, and would be more likely to beat whatever team they faced from the East. Of course, with only 1 or 2 games played in each series, the projections are still pretty volatile, so don't place your arbitrage wagers just yet.

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