Washington won 4 games in a row to win the Cup from a 25% chance of winning down 1-0. Since I didn't track the whole playoffs, I haven't made my fancy graph like I did in 2017, nor do I have the numbers from the early rounds, but just for completeness (such as it is), here are the full final playoff results:
Washington over Vegas
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 4-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
2018-06-09
2018-06-05
2018 Stanley Cup Projection, June 5
Washington over Vegas
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 3-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
We're on the cusp of the end with every game now. Vegas will have to survive 3 elimination games to pull off the inaugural season championship. They get to go back home for game 5, but would have to win game 6 on the road to force game 7 back at home.
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 3-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
| Team | Strength | Cup |
|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0.540 | 82.3 |
| VGK | 0.587 | 17.7 |
We're on the cusp of the end with every game now. Vegas will have to survive 3 elimination games to pull off the inaugural season championship. They get to go back home for game 5, but would have to win game 6 on the road to force game 7 back at home.
2018-06-03
2018 Stanley Cup Projection, June 3
Washington over Vegas
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 2-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
Washington has taken the lead and now has a 61% chance of winning the cup. It would be their first, but of course it would also be Vegas's first. The Capitals have been around since 1974, though, so they've had 44ish opportunities (I hate when strikes/lockouts eliminate a whole season. It makes it really hard to sort out exactly how many seasons teams had potential to win). Even though Washington is the most likely winner overall, Vegas is still favored in each individual game, and it looks like a 7 game series is now the most likely outcome.
Stanley Cup Final
WSH 2-1 VGK
Round 3
VGK 4-1 WPG
WSH 4-3 TBL
Round 2
WPG 4-3 NSH
SJS 2-4 VGK
BOS 1-4 TBL
PIT 2-4 WSH
Round 1
COL 2-4 NSH
MIN 1-4 WPG
LAK 0-4 VGK
SJS 4-0 ANA
NJD 1-4 TBL
TOR 3-4 BOS
CBJ 2-4 WSH
PHI 2-4 PIT
| Team | Strength | Cup |
|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0.540 | 61.4 |
| VGK | 0.587 | 38.6 |
Washington has taken the lead and now has a 61% chance of winning the cup. It would be their first, but of course it would also be Vegas's first. The Capitals have been around since 1974, though, so they've had 44ish opportunities (I hate when strikes/lockouts eliminate a whole season. It makes it really hard to sort out exactly how many seasons teams had potential to win). Even though Washington is the most likely winner overall, Vegas is still favored in each individual game, and it looks like a 7 game series is now the most likely outcome.
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