2012-01-15

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Divisional Weekend

San Francisco over New England

As a side note, did anyone know this is called the Divisional Playoffs? It doesn't make a lot of sense to me, but I guess they had to call it something in the great re-branding a few years ago.

I went 3-1 this week, losing only the Green Bay-New York game. Of the 4 teams left, I've had 3 of them in my Superbowl projections multiple times, including San Francisco and Baltimore in Week 1, Week 5, and Week 6, Week 8, and almost in Week 9. Also, every post from the end of Week 15 to the end of Week 17 had San Francisco over New England, only changing last week when New York's severe underdog status put Green Bay as the likely champ.

This week's games:

San Francisco over New York (83%)
New England over Baltimore (54%)

I'll be rooting for the 49ers and Ravens, though, since I still don't really like the Patriots. Either way I think both of these games have potential to be great next week.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SF13-3++++82.56448.897
NE13-3++++53.97726.256
BAL12-4++++46.02320.744
NYG9-7++++17.4364.104

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 25% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 16, Saturday)
First to 45% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (Divisional Weekend)
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)
First to clinch a division: Green Bay, San Francisco (week 13, Sunday)
First to clinch a first round bye: Green Bay (week 14, Sunday)

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