2011-11-29

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 12, Final

Green Bay over Houston.

Believe it or not, Green Bay still isn't in the playoffs for certain. And New Orleans came on strong last night to boost their chances and drop Green Bay back below 20% to win it all. Jacksonville can't win the AFC South but has an outside shot at a Wildcard, and the Rams, Colts, and Vikings are playing for draft picks.  We should see several teams eliminated and a few lock up spots next week.

From a gut reaction standpoint as opposed to the numbers, I think Baltimore has a better shot than Houston right now, although Leinert being out may only help their cause.


TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
GB11-099.909100.00099.90064.54235.57219.968
HOU8-398.35898.90480.54847.50127.45614.584
SF9-299.94499.98597.50258.98531.65617.382
BAL8-375.86398.23487.35150.51426.14812.951
NE8-398.76399.35486.39847.34824.92212.272
NO8-387.22695.65259.12526.83813.2146.591
DET7-40.06758.55132.99812.9585.6602.538
CHI7-40.02477.25941.76915.7476.6292.869
PIT8-318.98791.59059.18725.35410.8704.484
CIN7-45.15055.67829.17011.9565.0542.018
ATL7-412.76061.53527.0229.1623.5511.398
TEN6-51.64218.3796.9122.4440.9200.316
NYJ6-51.17727.04010.4883.6311.3460.460
MIA3-80.0010.0080.0030.0010.0000.000
DAL6-566.29667.20227.4648.1312.6640.920
PHI4-76.7656.8772.7720.8130.2650.091
SEA5-60.0564.4311.6410.4330.1350.042
OAK7-463.53168.41726.1727.7632.3620.692
BUF5-60.0591.9700.6370.1830.0570.016
NYG6-526.49627.6289.5652.3430.6440.187
SD4-71.2351.4190.4690.1300.0370.010
DEN6-534.68238.42112.5523.1580.8250.206
ARI4-70.0010.1380.0380.0080.0020.001
CAR3-80.0000.0010.0000.0000.0000.000
WAS4-70.4430.5720.1700.0360.0090.002
CLE4-70.0000.0290.0080.0020.0000.000
MIN2-9------
JAC3-8-0.0020.0000.0000.0000.000
TB4-70.0140.1690.0340.0050.0010.000
KC4-70.5520.5560.1050.0150.0020.000
STL2-9------
IND0-11------
First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)
First to 100% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (week 12, Sunday)

No comments:

Post a Comment