Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 11, Final

San Francisco over Houston

San Francisco's big win puts them back on top of the NFL, and Houston stays atop the AFC during a bye week with Baltimore's narrow win.  There's been one more elimination, as the Rams can no longer win the NFC West at 2-8.  One flaw in this particular system may be that it does not take into account the strength of opponents, only the scores of the games.  So San Francisco's big win this week against the Cardinals moves them ahead of Green Bay, who beat a slightly better team.  In fact, even if Green Bay had beaten another 9-0 team by the same score, the results would be the same.  Even so, I'll stick to my guns and say as of now San Francisco is my Superbowl pick.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
SF	9-1	99.820	99.991	99.261	62.835	35.378	20.436
GB	10-0	93.292	98.344	96.548	60.368	32.090	18.024
HOU	7-3	97.718	98.858	84.655	50.979	29.834	15.615
BAL	7-3	63.111	91.282	78.384	44.106	22.708	10.903
NE	7-3	95.935	98.622	84.180	45.886	23.926	11.417
DET	7-3	4.504	47.264	30.027	13.119	6.108	2.998
NO	7-3	83.661	93.555	56.658	24.071	11.316	5.549
CHI	7-3	2.205	53.486	31.895	12.919	5.711	2.665
PIT	7-3	28.613	76.696	56.006	25.362	11.142	4.599
CIN	6-4	8.204	30.712	20.349	8.947	3.931	1.597
PHI	4-6	14.813	17.977	7.831	2.638	0.995	0.400
ATL	6-4	16.057	63.257	27.486	9.172	3.445	1.373
NYJ	5-5	1.937	36.551	14.601	5.338	2.070	0.718
TEN	5-5	2.243	27.403	10.650	3.901	1.504	0.517
MIA	3-7	0.127	1.825	0.679	0.243	0.093	0.032
DAL	5-5	40.688	45.063	18.300	5.588	1.917	0.705
NYG	6-4	44.225	52.100	20.799	6.118	2.018	0.715
SEA	5-5	0.180	26.177	10.470	3.033	0.990	0.346
BUF	5-5	2.002	20.849	7.605	2.430	0.821	0.247
OAK	6-4	54.989	62.541	24.410	7.645	2.460	0.730
SD	4-6	13.781	16.311	5.827	1.786	0.566	0.165
DEN	5-5	29.101	35.351	11.950	3.244	0.916	0.236
ARI	3-7	0.000	0.508	0.154	0.034	0.009	0.002
CAR	2-8	0.004	0.015	0.005	0.001	0.000	0.000
WAS	3-7	0.274	0.486	0.139	0.029	0.007	0.002
CLE	4-6	0.072	0.411	0.145	0.035	0.009	0.002
MIN	2-8	-	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
JAC	3-7	0.038	0.201	0.047	0.011	0.003	0.001
TB	4-6	0.277	1.778	0.429	0.076	0.016	0.003
KC	4-6	2.129	2.389	0.510	0.088	0.016	0.003
STL	2-8	-	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
IND	0-10	-	-	-	-	-	-

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)