2011-11-25

Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 12, Thursday

Green Bay over Baltimore

Note that Houston is a stronger team than Baltimore at the moment, but they're more likely to run into stronger teams in the playoffs.  It's kind of an odd scenario, which culminates in Houston being slightly less likely that Baltimore to make the Superbowl.  As of now, Green Bay could clinch the NFC North next week thanks to their continued undefeated season.

On a side note, I'm kind of glad the Rams didn't draft Ndamukong Suh last year, even though I pushed for it on Twitter.  That kind of on-field stuff doesn't play well in St. Louis, and he'd be run out of town and we'd be out a lot of money.  Not that we're holier-than-thou here; we'll put up with all kinds of off-field shenanigans.  But that's a rant for another time.

TEAMRecordDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
GB11-099.54299.97599.79966.00636.87021.261
SF9-299.62099.98098.52361.83333.41418.860
HOU7-397.67998.83183.32149.02927.88314.312
BAL8-379.86596.90989.37854.14529.21514.575
NE7-396.02598.68583.56344.19022.48610.509
NO7-383.85793.22756.89223.70310.8945.227
DET7-40.06332.36718.6547.3413.2701.518
CHI7-30.39565.98538.10814.7426.4242.930
PIT7-315.74574.73951.13521.9809.4743.822
CIN6-44.35527.44817.5117.3643.1621.255
PHI4-611.93415.3566.8662.2260.8250.323
ATL6-415.86761.40527.0018.6433.2051.246
NYJ5-51.94536.84614.3545.0561.9220.651
TEN5-52.28327.82310.5643.7161.4050.470
MIA3-80.0160.3870.1400.0470.0180.006
DAL6-550.93456.82223.9897.1112.3960.863
NYG6-437.01946.90919.1795.4191.7510.604
SEA5-50.38025.53210.3502.8610.9260.315
BUF5-52.01421.2897.5492.3090.7640.224
OAK6-455.00062.54424.1707.2592.2760.658
SD4-613.70416.1645.7401.6920.5230.148
DEN5-529.20235.48011.9223.0950.8500.214
ARI3-70.0000.4840.1460.0300.0080.002
CAR2-80.0040.0120.0040.0010.0000.000
WAS3-70.1130.3290.0970.0190.0050.001
CLE4-60.0350.2900.1010.0230.0060.001
MIN2-8-0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
JAC3-70.0380.2130.0490.0100.0020.001
TB4-60.2721.6180.3930.0650.0130.003
KC4-62.0952.3520.5030.0830.0150.002
STL2-8-0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
IND0-10------

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)
First to 20% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 8)
First to 99.9% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 10)
First to 99.99% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco (week 11, Sunday)

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