2017-10-06

Superbowl LII Projection, Week 5, Thursday

Kansas City over Detroit

It feels weird not to have New England in my Super Bowl projection, but at just 3-2 and barely over .500 in strength, they're currently only the 7th most likely team to win the AFC. Last night's win at Tampa was not very impressive, and if not for 3 missed Field Goals may well have been a loss.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC4-00.57458.3884.4767.6736.6719.6310.68
PIT3-10.56975.0980.8159.6331.8116.739.02
BUF3-10.55259.4574.1255.4028.4114.347.48
DET3-10.55946.5968.4450.6727.1314.497.42
LAR3-10.55256.6967.7749.0525.8713.586.87
DEN3-10.54931.9667.0445.5823.0011.646.03
JAC2-20.56544.7956.7638.1119.9010.345.53
GB3-10.54138.2860.0342.1821.6611.135.50
PHI3-10.52154.9664.7944.2521.6910.585.01
ATL3-10.52836.7158.6941.4920.7610.324.96
CAR3-10.52030.2250.6834.1016.748.173.86
HOU2-20.54033.8046.9229.6814.697.253.69
SEA2-20.53628.8140.4325.9513.166.673.26
NE3-20.51026.4444.6427.5112.735.862.81
NO2-20.53219.0834.8022.3111.225.632.73
OAK2-20.5269.3837.1621.7310.364.982.47
WAS2-20.50422.1235.3021.2710.044.732.16
MIN2-20.50713.3632.6819.689.384.482.06
DAL2-20.49421.8431.8318.528.563.951.77
TB2-20.50413.9827.7116.827.983.781.73
TEN2-20.45917.7726.2613.755.672.331.00
NYJ2-20.4639.9521.8111.494.781.990.86
BAL2-20.45014.3524.7712.254.942.000.84
ARI2-20.46313.6219.5710.424.521.960.82
CIN1-30.4929.8316.078.473.781.690.78
MIA1-20.4214.179.204.341.630.610.24
IND1-30.4073.646.192.751.000.360.14
CHI1-30.4181.774.091.880.730.290.11
LAC0-40.4550.272.321.050.420.170.07
SF0-40.4400.881.660.750.310.130.05
NYG0-40.4261.081.530.660.260.100.04
CLE0-40.4180.731.460.600.220.080.03

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Kansas City (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Pittsburgh (Week 4, Sunday)

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 4, Sunday] Pittsburgh over Detroit
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Detroit

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