2017-10-21

2017 World Series Projection, October 21

Los Angeles over New York

League Championship Series
NYY 3-3 HOU
CHC 1-4 LAD

Division Series
NYY 3-2 CLE
BOS 1-3 HOU
ARI 0-3 LAD
CHC 3-2 WAS

Wildcard Round
MIN 0-1 NYY
COL 0-1 ARI

TeamStrengthWSWin
LAD0.6312100.0052.97
NYY0.621950.7324.26
HOU0.614949.2722.77

Houston continued the ALCS pattern of the home team winning each game, which bodes well for them tonight. I still show New York slightly favored, but I was curious what sort of homefield advantage factor would tip the scales toward Houston. As it turns out, if you assume home teams have a winning percentage somewhere between .507 and .508, the odds even out at 50%. So, in short, flip a coin on this one.

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