2021-10-16

2021 World Series Projection, October 16

Los Angeles over Houston

League Championship Series
BOS 0-1 HOU
LAD 0-0 ATL

Division Series
BOS 3-1 TB
CWS 1-3 HOU
LAD 3-2 SF
ATL 3-1 MIL

Wildcard Round
NYY 0-1 BOS
STL 0-1 LAD

TeamStrengthWSWin
LAD0.676470.1845.85
HOU0.624979.0834.83
ATL0.586629.8213.39
BOS0.547620.925.93

Houston won the first game of the ALCS, and the NLCS begins today. So far the projection has been pretty stable, and Houston will remain the AL favorite after game 2, by a large margin if the series moves to 2-0, and a bit smaller if Boston ties it up. LA starts off even higher than Houston did (70% vs 66% at the start of the LCS), and may also remain favored even down 0-1.

Oct 5: San Francisco over Tampa Bay
Oct 6: San Francisco over Tampa Bay
Oct 7: Los Angeles over Tampa Bay
Oct 8: Los Angeles over Tampa Bay
Oct 9: San Francisco over Houston
Oct 10: Los Angeles over Houston
Oct 11: Los Angeles over Houston
Oct 12: San Francisco over Houston
Oct 13: Los Angeles over Houston
Oct 15: Los Angeles over Houston

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