Super Bowl LIV Projection, Week 4, Sunday

New England over Dallas

I thought for sure Dallas would no longer be the NFC favorites after losing to New Orleans this week, but here we are. It was a close game, so it didn't have too much of a negative effect on their points-based strength. And who else would challenge them? San Francisco is now the only undefeated NFC team, but they had the week off so they're only 3-0. Chicago is 3-1 but losing their division on a tiebreaker, hurting their overall chances. And Seattle and the LA Rams are splitting the division champ chances with San Francisco, keeping any one of them from dominating the conference.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
NE	4-0	0.622	81.22	95.72	85.30	51.13	30.14	17.44
DAL	3-1	0.593	68.74	75.95	57.13	32.22	18.03	9.60
KC	4-0	0.561	71.64	85.87	69.46	36.60	18.15	9.38
SF	3-0	0.565	51.26	73.35	57.33	30.50	15.97	8.05
CHI	3-1	0.564	36.59	58.11	41.71	21.99	11.50	5.79
BUF	3-1	0.534	18.31	65.96	40.50	18.90	9.08	4.44
TEN	2-2	0.564	31.72	49.34	33.07	16.81	8.44	4.39
BAL	2-2	0.552	45.88	54.87	34.06	16.78	8.24	4.18
GB	3-1	0.538	33.24	51.86	35.33	17.56	8.68	4.14
LAR	3-1	0.522	24.22	48.96	32.23	15.46	7.39	3.41
SEA	3-1	0.527	23.82	45.70	29.83	14.46	6.97	3.25
LAC	2-2	0.535	19.99	43.88	27.31	13.09	6.17	3.03
CAR	2-2	0.531	28.21	37.14	22.93	11.13	5.39	2.53
MIN	2-2	0.550	13.58	30.73	19.50	9.92	5.04	2.47
NO	3-1	0.483	35.46	45.22	27.73	12.11	5.27	2.23
CLE	2-2	0.496	38.19	46.29	25.57	11.12	4.82	2.18
TB	2-2	0.509	30.19	37.50	21.96	10.14	4.68	2.10
JAC	2-2	0.500	23.93	37.59	21.09	9.22	4.03	1.83
HOU	2-2	0.500	22.08	35.63	20.81	9.16	4.01	1.82
DET	2-1-1	0.504	16.59	31.33	19.18	8.86	4.08	1.81
PHI	2-2	0.509	19.12	29.02	16.81	7.88	3.69	1.65
IND	2-2	0.485	22.27	32.62	18.07	7.68	3.23	1.42
NYG	2-2	0.480	11.83	23.73	12.99	5.69	2.49	1.05
OAK	2-2	0.455	7.27	22.66	11.53	4.55	1.79	0.74
CIN	0-3	0.447	8.42	11.24	5.19	1.99	0.77	0.31
PIT	0-3	0.437	7.51	10.21	4.56	1.70	0.64	0.25
ATL	1-3	0.441	6.13	8.40	4.01	1.58	0.62	0.24
DEN	0-4	0.450	1.09	3.18	1.48	0.57	0.23	0.09
NYJ	0-3	0.424	0.35	3.91	1.64	0.58	0.22	0.08
ARI	0-3-1	0.428	0.69	2.30	1.04	0.40	0.15	0.06
WAS	0-4	0.413	0.31	0.69	0.28	0.11	0.04	0.01
MIA	0-4	0.376	0.13	1.04	0.38	0.12	0.04	0.01

[Week 1] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2. Sunday] Baltimore over Dallas
[Week 2, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Thursday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Sunday] New England over Dallas
[Week 3, Final] New England over Dallas
[Week 4, Thursday] New England over Dallas