2019-10-01

2019 World Series Projection, October 1

Los Angeles over Houston

Wildcard Round
TB 0-0 OAK
MIL 0-0 WSH

TeamStrengthLDSLCSWSWin
LAD0.6696100.0071.3451.6130.45
HOU0.6673100.0065.1141.3024.85
NYY0.6148100.0052.1922.9111.08
MIN0.6037100.0047.8119.829.11
OAK0.602752.7919.629.504.35
WSH0.588858.6920.0710.984.45
TB 0.575647.2115.276.472.59
STL0.5683100.0050.2617.326.27
ATL0.5669100.0049.7417.016.11
MIL0.501941.318.593.080.74

The opening projection this year is almost the same as last year, but with LA just edging out Houston to be the favorite. LA is more than 50% likely to make the World Series, thanks to some pretty low-strength opponents in the NL. The bottom 3 teams are from the NL, and 4 of the bottom 5. LA would face either the 2nd or 3rd weakest team (St. Louis or Atlanta) in the NLCS. Houston is nearly as strong as LA, but has a bit more competition in the AL. Milwaukee is the outlier at just over .500, because of their meager +3 run differential. They'll take on Washington today, and the field will either tighten up or stay spread out.

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