2015-09-27

NCAA Football Power Rankings, Week 4

Ohio State dropped 6 spots to #7, despite winning. Why? Well, all of their previous opponents lost, while all Northwestern's opponents who were active this week won. This early in the season, that can cause some wild swings.

That sort of thing gets less likely as the year goes on, for two reasons. First, since the system doesn't take future opponents into account, there are more previous opponents as the weeks go on. It's less likely to get a full slate of losses the more teams you take int account. Also, as we get into conference play, often times two previous opponents will be playing against each other, guaranteeing one opponent gets a boost while the other falls, which should be almost neutral toward the team in question.

Missouri lost to Kentucky, knocking them down to #45. I was admittedly incredulous that they were 2.5 to 3 point underdogs on Friday, but Kentucky even covered.

Once again, LSU would be #1 if their week 1 game had not been canceled and they won it. They'd be far ahead of Northwestern, too. Without going into too much detail on the guts of my system, just for brevity's sake, Northwestern has an aggregate score of 18464 (the scale of this changes each week), and Ohio State has 18240, so the difference from 1 to 7 is only 224 points. If LSU had won their game, their score would be 20600, over 2000 points higher than the current #1.


1Northwestern4-0
2Utah4-0
3Indiana4-0
4Texas A&M4-0
5UCLA4-0
6Florida4-0
7Ohio State4-0
8NC State4-0
9Michigan State4-0
10TCU4-0
11California4-0
12Ole Miss4-0
13Georgia4-0
14Iowa4-0
15Notre Dame4-0
16Memphis4-0
17LSU3-0
18Oklahoma State4-0
19West Virginia3-0
20Oklahoma3-0
21Alabama3-1
22Miami (FL)3-0
23Michigan3-1
24Kentucky3-1
25Ohio3-1
26Minnesota3-1
27Temple3-0
28Navy3-0
29Stanford3-1
30Clemson3-0
31North Carolina3-1
32Penn State3-1
33Kansas State3-0
34Florida State3-0
35Wisconsin3-1
36USC3-1
37Baylor3-0
38Western Kentucky3-1
39Duke3-1
40Georgia Southern3-1
41Houston3-0
42Illinois3-1
43Toledo3-0
44Arizona3-1
45Missouri3-1
46Texas Tech3-1
47Mississippi State3-1
48Boise State3-1
49Syracuse3-1
50Marshall3-1
51Boston College3-1
52BYU2-2
53Colorado3-1
54Pittsburgh2-1
55Auburn2-2
56East Carolina2-2
57Oregon State2-2
58Georgia Tech2-2
59Tennessee2-2
60Nebraska2-2
61Air Force2-1
62Louisiana Tech2-2
63South Carolina2-2
64Oregon2-2
65Bowling Green2-2
66Tulsa2-1
67Hawaii2-2
68Wake Forest2-2
69Virginia Tech2-2
70Arizona State2-2
71Connecticut2-2
72Nevada2-2
73Maryland2-2
74Middle Tennessee2-2
75Buffalo2-2
76Washington2-2
77Cincinnati2-2
78Appalachian State2-1
79South Alabama2-2
80San Jose State2-2
81Ball State2-2
82Washington State2-1
83Northern Illinois2-2
84Old Dominion2-2
85Florida Intl2-2
86Akron2-2
87Rutgers2-2
88Southern Mississippi2-2
89Colorado State2-2
90UTEP2-2
91Troy1-2
92Charlotte2-2
93Iowa State1-2
94New Mexico2-2
95Virginia1-3
96Rice2-2
97Texas1-3
98Idaho1-3
99Arkansas1-3
100Utah State1-2
101Fresno State1-3
102San Diego State1-3
103Western Michigan1-3
104Louisville1-3
105Arkansas State1-3
106Louisiana Monroe1-2
107Central Michigan1-3
108Purdue1-3
109SMU1-3
110Tulane1-2
111Vanderbilt1-3
112Florida Atlantic1-3
113Texas State1-3
114UNLV1-3
115Miami (OH)1-3
116Kent State1-3
117South Florida1-2
118Louisiana Lafayette1-2
119Army1-3
120Georgia State1-2
121Massachusetts0-3
122Eastern Michigan1-3
123Kansas0-3
124Texas San Antonio0-4
125North Texas0-3
126UCF0-4
127New Mexico State0-3
128Wyoming0-4

2015 History and #1s
Week 1 Everybody who was 1-0
Week 2 Texas A&M
Week 3 Ohio State

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