Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 7

Baltimore over Green Bay

Bye weeks really mess with the stability of my rankings.  Green Bay takes over the NFC lead while San Francisco is idle, even though the SF playoff chances are up to 98.76%. Meanwhile, my Rams are over 40 times more likely to go 0-16 than make the playoffs.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	4-2	47.02	74.12	59.67	35.02	20.23	10.79
GB	7-0	81.07	97.38	89.20	51.46	27.91	15.64
SF	5-1	97.92	98.76	84.75	47.10	24.79	13.62
NO	5-2	76.52	87.96	63.21	32.97	17.19	9.34
DET	5-2	16.70	73.23	46.81	23.17	11.72	6.18
HOU	4-3	85.76	87.46	57.53	30.67	16.30	8.05
NE	5-1	59.41	85.98	69.88	36.62	18.51	8.81
PIT	5-2	26.68	57.66	39.84	19.80	9.81	4.52
BUF	4-2	29.41	64.13	44.61	22.15	10.78	4.96
CIN	4-2	24.33	49.90	34.52	16.88	8.20	3.70
DAL	3-3	41.02	53.87	28.80	12.16	5.27	2.44
CHI	4-3	2.23	24.80	13.01	5.49	2.43	1.12
NYJ	4-3	11.17	33.18	20.24	9.47	4.36	1.89
NYG	4-2	33.27	47.56	24.30	9.59	3.87	1.68
SD	4-2	58.01	62.61	35.19	15.09	6.47	2.62
WAS	3-3	16.15	27.78	12.86	4.89	1.93	0.82
PHI	2-4	9.57	15.61	6.87	2.59	1.02	0.43
ATL	4-3	14.99	38.91	17.56	6.57	2.54	1.05
CAR	2-5	1.10	3.95	1.56	0.54	0.20	0.08
OAK	4-3	27.63	35.99	17.47	6.72	2.60	0.94
TEN	3-3	11.63	19.30	8.63	3.26	1.24	0.43
CLE	3-3	1.97	6.24	3.05	1.15	0.44	0.15
MIN	1-6	0.00	0.11	0.04	0.01	0.00	0.00
DEN	2-4	4.59	6.95	2.92	1.05	0.38	0.13
ARI	1-5	0.61	1.75	0.63	0.20	0.07	0.02
SEA	2-4	1.45	7.56	2.81	0.89	0.29	0.10
TB	4-3	7.38	20.71	7.59	2.35	0.77	0.27
KC	3-3	9.76	13.52	5.50	1.83	0.61	0.19
MIA	0-6	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00
JAC	2-5	2.56	2.87	0.90	0.27	0.08	0.02
IND	0-7	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00
STL	0-6	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00

First to 10% chance of Superbowl win: Detroit (week 3)
First to 15% chance of Superbowl win: San Francisco (week 6)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit (week 3)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Detroit, San Francisco, Green Bay (week 5)
First to 95% chance of Playoffs: San Francisco, Green Bay (week 6)