Superbowl XLVI Projection, Week 4

Baltimore over Detroit.

Baltimore's convincing win and Buffalo's loss brought the Ravens to the top of the pack in the AFC.  Detroit is being chased by Green Bay, but they still hold the top of the NFC.  Their two divisional games should clear up a lot.  There were no new 10% milestones this week.  The worst-positioned team is Indianapolis, but even they still hold a 1.40% chance of at least a playoff berth.  The Rams still make me sad.

TEAM	Record	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
BAL	3-1	65.63	79.84	63.38	35.77	19.90	11.00
DET	4-0	48.33	84.54	66.20	36.46	20.15	10.73
TEN	3-1	45.75	74.12	53.50	28.31	14.85	7.81
HOU	3-1	51.98	74.37	53.94	28.32	14.76	7.71
GB	4-0	47.40	84.80	65.10	34.38	18.30	9.42
BUF	3-1	43.17	67.07	47.71	24.32	12.22	6.22
NE	3-1	41.87	68.39	48.65	24.73	12.40	6.29
WAS	3-1	44.03	64.17	44.59	22.61	11.26	5.56
NO	3-1	49.54	63.03	42.71	21.49	10.65	5.23
SF	3-1	76.41	79.67	52.18	25.98	12.75	6.19
NYG	3-1	32.82	53.70	35.27	17.01	8.08	3.81
TB	3-1	35.85	50.79	31.49	14.80	6.86	3.17
CIN	2-2	18.19	37.62	22.51	10.38	4.79	2.24
SD	3-1	56.89	64.71	39.94	18.21	8.26	3.84
NYJ	2-2	14.27	27.80	16.22	7.41	3.37	1.56
PHI	1-3	6.02	11.79	6.21	2.80	1.26	0.56
ARI	1-3	15.49	20.69	10.33	4.65	2.10	0.93
OAK	2-2	32.07	41.73	22.80	9.99	4.38	1.97
DAL	2-2	17.14	31.07	17.99	8.07	3.58	1.58
CHI	2-2	4.03	16.84	9.30	4.14	1.87	0.82
PIT	2-2	9.07	22.75	12.04	5.10	2.17	0.93
CAR	1-3	5.40	8.33	4.06	1.73	0.74	0.31
ATL	2-2	9.21	17.61	9.18	3.89	1.64	0.69
MIN	0-4	0.24	1.63	0.77	0.32	0.13	0.05
CLE	2-2	7.12	17.33	8.83	3.59	1.46	0.60
DEN	1-3	7.49	11.58	5.31	2.06	0.80	0.32
MIA	0-4	0.69	1.59	0.68	0.26	0.10	0.04
SEA	1-3	5.98	8.80	3.68	1.36	0.51	0.19
IND	0-4	0.56	1.40	0.58	0.21	0.08	0.03
JAC	1-3	1.71	4.30	1.81	0.63	0.22	0.08
STL	0-4	2.12	2.53	0.92	0.32	0.11	0.04
KC	1-3	3.56	5.41	2.09	0.70	0.23	0.08

First to 10% chance of Superbowl Win: Detroit
First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Detroit