Superbowl LII Projection, Week 4, Thursday

Kansas City over Atlanta

Green Bay beat Chicago easily on Thursday night, but couldn't quite take over the NFC lead from Atlanta. Given the 35 points they scored, if they had held Chicago to a safety or less they would now be in the NFC lead, based on the results of the simulations at their new, higher strength. But, they allowed 14 points, including a garbage-time TD.

TEAM	Record	Strength	Div	Plyff	WC	Qtr	Semi	Champ
KC	3-0	0.558	52.13	76.15	59.33	31.83	16.95	9.05
JAC	2-1	0.563	47.05	67.57	49.90	26.97	14.46	7.80
ATL	3-0	0.536	52.06	72.28	55.50	28.72	14.75	7.44
LAR	2-1	0.545	61.61	67.18	46.03	24.10	12.59	6.46
GB	3-1	0.541	40.08	60.87	43.26	22.54	11.72	5.96
BUF	2-1	0.539	48.31	62.27	43.94	22.47	11.39	5.87
PIT	2-1	0.533	52.23	61.82	41.40	20.84	10.43	5.31
DET	2-1	0.539	31.30	52.76	36.44	18.87	9.77	4.95
TEN	2-1	0.529	39.97	56.78	38.75	19.41	9.66	4.88
OAK	2-1	0.533	22.20	50.87	33.84	17.04	8.59	4.38
DEN	2-1	0.533	24.75	50.50	33.48	16.83	8.48	4.31
PHI	2-1	0.517	37.56	53.55	36.05	17.80	8.75	4.24
WAS	2-1	0.523	32.72	50.24	33.84	16.90	8.41	4.13
MIN	2-1	0.520	26.65	48.12	32.18	16.02	7.98	3.90
CAR	2-1	0.516	21.60	41.94	27.26	13.43	6.61	3.20
DAL	2-1	0.504	28.09	43.72	28.23	13.56	6.50	3.07
NE	2-1	0.506	30.58	43.96	27.57	13.08	6.17	2.97
BAL	2-1	0.492	39.84	50.05	29.84	13.71	6.27	2.94
TB	1-1	0.511	17.18	32.62	20.50	9.98	4.86	2.32
SEA	1-2	0.472	18.62	24.06	13.03	5.83	2.61	1.15
NO	1-2	0.491	9.17	19.55	11.35	5.30	2.48	1.14
MIA	1-1	0.467	12.96	21.90	12.24	5.33	2.32	1.03
ARI	1-2	0.460	15.08	18.73	9.56	4.16	1.82	0.78
HOU	1-2	0.457	6.77	14.02	7.42	3.17	1.35	0.59
NYJ	1-2	0.458	8.16	14.25	7.39	3.16	1.35	0.58
IND	1-2	0.439	6.21	13.20	6.89	2.82	1.15	0.48
CLE	0-3	0.460	4.29	7.06	3.45	1.47	0.63	0.28
SF	0-3	0.450	4.69	6.66	3.18	1.35	0.58	0.24
CIN	0-3	0.434	3.64	5.53	2.58	1.03	0.42	0.17
LAC	0-3	0.457	0.92	4.07	1.99	0.85	0.36	0.16
CHI	1-3	0.418	1.96	4.59	2.12	0.84	0.33	0.13
NYG	0-3	0.431	1.63	3.13	1.46	0.59	0.24	0.10

[Week 1] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Thursday] Jacksonville over Los Angeles Rams
[Week 2, Sunday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 2, Final] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Thursday] Carolina over Baltimore
[Week 3, Sunday] Kansas City over Atlanta
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Atlanta