2013-10-04

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 5, Thursday

Kansas City over Seattle

The NFL's gotta get better at predicting the good teams if they're going to continue to have Thursday night games through most of the season. Neither Cleveland nor Buffalo is as bad as the Rams, but it's not a very compelling matchup against game 1 of the NLDS. But, the Browns outperformed my projection and beat Buffalo, doubling their Superbowl odds to 2.4%.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC4-00.61049.54380.58862.79334.96119.39010.625
SEA4-00.60687.92594.82583.53348.54027.11414.563
IND3-10.59954.26868.89950.19327.36614.6477.864
DEN4-00.59644.33978.77859.55232.04717.2379.198
NO4-00.59679.34591.93076.89243.51523.63512.430
NE4-00.57369.07481.68463.87133.12216.5938.467
CAR1-20.57017.45148.68030.37815.3797.8693.928
TEN3-10.56035.72759.62139.83619.8479.7604.856
DAL2-20.53762.65267.33540.91119.2659.0784.231
DET3-10.53549.34272.03448.98823.27210.9145.061
CHI3-10.52032.71360.04238.09517.4207.9213.563
CLE3-20.51743.05349.26027.13512.0675.3412.425
GB1-20.51214.45731.37618.0437.9973.5931.586
SD2-20.5115.35418.80310.2194.4982.0080.900
MIA3-10.50022.07846.01127.90612.0275.1132.238
CIN2-20.50025.26431.26716.4787.0392.9991.313
BAL2-20.49029.24833.87517.1147.1372.9671.271
MIN1-30.4873.48712.3226.2632.6011.1140.466
BUF2-30.4833.74111.1335.4742.2490.9320.393
ATL1-30.4812.81115.3077.4763.0741.3050.537
HOU2-20.4729.76319.2349.8854.0331.6340.670
SF2-20.4665.78630.22114.7815.8602.3910.951
WAS1-30.46215.43418.4658.4863.3091.3230.521
OAK1-30.4550.7644.5042.0260.7770.3050.120
ARI2-20.4545.18722.81810.8834.2101.6680.645
NYJ2-20.4545.10712.9636.2192.3840.9160.360
PHI1-30.44218.85823.68610.8454.0431.5360.576
TB0-40.4250.3932.4791.0230.3630.1350.048
PIT0-40.4242.4352.8751.1170.3930.1390.051
STL1-30.4141.1034.6811.9450.6800.2460.086
NYG0-40.3923.0563.7991.4580.4710.1580.052
JAC0-40.3780.2410.5060.1800.0560.0180.006

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]
[Week 3, Sunday]
[Week 3, Final]
[Week 4, Thursday]
[Week 4, Sunday]
[Week 4, Final]

2 comments:

  1. Every team gets one Thursday game. The NFL was just getting Cleveland and Buffalo out of the way early.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I had to go look that up, because I was sure I'd have caught on to that before if it were true. Sure enough, including the 3 on Thanksgiving, everybody gets 1, and Denver/Baltimore's opener was a second Thursday game for each. Thanks for pointing that out.

      Delete