2013-09-23

Superbowl XLVIII Projection, Week 3, Sunday

Seattle over Kansas City

The top two teams swapped positions, again. Seattle reasserted its dominance with a 45-17 game against Jacksonville. As Jacksonville is the worst team at the moment, I'm glad the top 2 teams have played them, because they are thus at least more comparable to each other.

Carolina is the 3rd best team, with only a 1-2 record. This is a result of their 2 narrow losses by a total of 6 points, and their shutout win by 38 points. If you were to smooth out those points over all 3 games, they'd be 3-0, illustrating my system's preference for point differential over actual wins and losses in projecting future games.

Finally, it's weird to live in a world where the Steelers and Packers are a combined 1-5.

I'll save my Rams bellyaching and hope to instead do some celebrating after this Thursday's game.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
SEA3-00.58884.03691.33377.24143.34423.89613.141
KC3-00.57553.14073.00057.25331.41917.0908.992
CAR1-20.56923.70049.46231.57616.4928.6494.592
NO3-00.56866.55583.13463.82434.05217.8549.450
NE3-00.56347.56171.18854.15228.97015.3237.886
DAL2-10.55165.69173.64350.24125.46912.7956.559
IND2-10.54544.63854.38536.35118.4669.3474.634
DEN2-00.54428.78053.44737.36119.0159.6764.790
MIA3-00.54336.18663.70346.01823.43711.8595.865
CHI3-00.53353.62874.52853.68026.34812.6886.280
DET2-10.52430.59255.56035.17616.7267.9113.834
CIN2-10.52244.05851.97632.59815.7347.5673.578
OAK1-10.51712.39727.62716.8978.0943.8861.817
BAL2-10.51442.07449.90830.51814.4936.8643.195
NYJ2-10.51312.65732.43319.8089.4034.4642.073
GB1-20.51213.84131.60718.2058.3873.8781.835
TEN2-10.51027.87840.77325.16611.8495.5672.566
SD1-20.4955.68313.1497.4003.3911.5570.695
ATL1-20.4948.14425.34313.4995.9832.6801.223
PHI1-20.48824.35235.26619.1048.3423.6551.645
BUF1-20.4843.59511.8436.4342.8671.2810.558
HOU2-10.47824.83734.37019.5688.5933.7721.624
MIN0-30.4771.9407.9603.9041.6540.7120.312
CLE1-20.46010.43513.9886.9142.9021.2190.502
ARI1-20.4565.87418.5628.9513.6201.4850.620
WAS0-30.4526.1678.8504.0421.6120.6520.270
STL1-20.4516.24916.3997.9223.1751.2910.533
TB0-30.4391.6016.2652.8061.0890.4300.173
PIT0-30.4343.4334.6222.0540.8060.3180.123
SF1-20.4303.84216.1207.2552.7491.0600.417
NYG0-30.4243.7895.9672.5750.9590.3620.140
JAC0-30.4122.6473.5911.5080.5610.2100.077

[Week 1]
[Week 2, Thursday]
[Week 2, Sunday]
[Week 2, Final]
[Week 3, Thursday]

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