2020-11-13

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 10, Thursday

Kansas City over Green Bay

We had another Thursday night division game, with Indianapolis beating Tennessee. Both teams are now 6-3, with Indianapolis about twice as likely to win the division, and the other two - Houston and Jacksonville - pretty unlikely to make a run at it.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
KC8-10.66894.3199.5276.9645.3525.3915.40
PIT8-00.63173.8999.3976.2941.5421.0511.95
BAL6-20.65525.1495.0859.4932.8317.7810.54
GB6-20.58079.1592.9362.7933.3917.387.87
NO6-20.57470.7892.9460.7431.8016.357.30
IND6-30.62666.9083.0245.6323.0311.696.57
ARI5-30.59632.6176.5446.9225.5413.766.45
TB6-30.58728.0579.4048.6025.8513.656.28
LAR5-30.58824.6773.5645.2124.1512.805.89
MIA5-30.61535.7176.1342.0020.3010.045.53
SEA6-20.54640.4786.9454.5326.5312.755.34
BUF7-20.51663.4587.3238.0114.695.722.58
TEN6-30.52532.6766.7928.1411.094.452.05
PHI3-4-10.46372.2172.2928.9011.434.521.54
CHI5-40.47217.4148.9821.238.713.551.24
SF4-50.5362.2620.3310.064.762.270.93
LV5-30.4815.5544.7317.096.002.170.90
CLE5-30.4470.9736.0912.463.951.310.50
MIN3-50.4712.8115.426.462.641.080.38
WAS2-60.42315.3715.635.612.000.720.22
CAR3-60.4680.294.291.780.720.300.10
DET3-50.4260.626.112.290.840.310.10
NYG2-70.3916.916.932.290.750.250.07
ATL3-60.4860.882.150.910.390.170.06
NE3-50.4410.844.521.500.470.160.06
DAL2-70.3615.525.551.670.500.150.04
LAC2-60.4800.031.920.690.240.090.04
DEN3-50.4180.112.960.900.260.080.03
CIN2-5-10.4620.001.390.490.160.060.02
HOU2-60.4160.421.110.340.100.030.01
JAC1-70.3850.010.020.010.000.000.00
NYJ0-90.263-0.000.00---

First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)
First to 99% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Pittsburgh (Week 8, Sunday)

First team eliminated from a division: New York Jets (Week 9, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Monday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 5, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 6, Sunday] Baltimore over Seattle
[Week 6, Monday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Thursday] Baltimore over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 7, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Sunday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 8, Final] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Thursday] Kansas City over Tampa Bay
[Week 9, Sunday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 9, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay

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