2020-10-12

Super Bowl LV Projection, Week 5, Sunday

Baltimore over Green Bay

Kansas City lost a tough game at home to Las Vegas, and consequently is out of the AFC lead. Baltimore is now favored 21% of the time, with KC next at 14%, with Pittsburgh sneaking up behind them at nearly 13%. In the NFC the top 3 are even closer, at 18%, 17%, and 16%. We'll get a bonus day this week with a game on Tuesday, but no early Monday game which was discussed as a possibility.

TEAMRecordStrengthDivPlyffWCQtrSemiChamp
BAL4-10.62249.6488.9262.0636.4421.2612.31
GB4-00.57067.8591.3363.5934.5718.419.42
LAR4-10.58834.0282.2355.5031.0517.249.14
SEA5-00.55249.3490.0861.3831.8116.308.05
KC4-10.56866.3985.0853.7428.0614.387.54
PIT4-00.55532.6681.2750.2725.3112.666.47
BUF4-00.53970.9784.4050.7224.7811.855.86
IND3-20.57945.2563.3836.3419.2210.095.40
TB3-20.55043.4362.2934.6717.839.074.46
CHI4-10.51229.6075.1942.5119.959.294.21
ARI3-20.55313.7653.0630.0015.387.893.90
CLE4-10.51117.2769.1136.2616.397.413.46
TEN3-00.51149.8067.4135.4916.247.333.43
CAR3-20.50829.8653.2527.0712.655.872.64
MIA2-30.54410.6134.2717.558.544.152.08
NO2-20.50025.6643.4121.089.694.421.95
DAL2-30.47653.4754.9923.9810.324.431.85
NE2-20.51018.3039.4819.138.683.931.83
LV3-20.49823.4143.1220.228.953.941.79
SF2-30.5202.8822.6911.695.572.681.24
PHI1-3-10.44326.1927.3910.984.371.730.67
LAC1-30.4745.0615.696.852.861.190.51
DEN1-30.4665.1411.214.751.950.800.34
DET1-30.4541.2011.494.982.030.840.33
MIN1-40.4661.359.464.171.750.740.31
WAS1-40.40315.6716.636.012.160.780.27
CIN1-3-10.4510.427.112.911.150.460.19
HOU1-40.4443.305.712.260.880.340.14
JAC1-40.4321.643.481.350.510.190.08
NYG0-50.3994.664.851.730.620.220.08
ATL0-50.4371.051.660.660.260.100.04
NYJ0-50.3710.120.360.120.040.010.00


First to 10% chance of Super Bowl win: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

First to 80% chance of Playoffs: Green Bay (Week 3, Sunday)
First to 90% chance of Playoffs: Kansas City and Green Bay (Week 4, Final)

[Week 1] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Thursday] Baltimore over Washington
[Week 2, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 2, Final] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Thursday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Sunday] Baltimore over Green Bay
[Week 3, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 4, Sunday] Indianapolis over Seattle
[Week 4, Final] Kansas City over Green Bay
[Week 5, Thursday] Kansas City over Green Bay

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